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Posts posted by Tyler Penland
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Yep temps still falling here back to 33 and dumping.
HRRR is definitely hot garbage on temps.- 5
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Temp has stalled at 34.9 at the house. Wife said it is rate dependent. Either moderate snow or drizzle.
HRRR had me near 40 this afternoon so we'll see but so far so good.- 1
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Good to get that Erwin report. A buddy and I are looking at hitting some waterfalls out there tomorrow (namely Margaret and Bailey) so was hoping they were gonna stay snow.Yep Erwin has been the battle ground (outside of elevation dependent temps along the spine and on our side of the line) based on reports I’ve been reading all morning on the TN Valley forum. Interesting dynamic how the cold in the upper atmosphere hit a wall it seems. I think now it boils down to two things if you are below say 4200’: can you get heavy enough rates for a mix or changeover to all snow and then can the backedge hold off long enough so when it clips the region it hits after the sun has set in order to put everything at your advantage.- 1
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Temp up to 34 but falling again slightly. Heavier rates keeping big fat flakes coming down.
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Temperature spiking up now. Almost 34 as rates have slowed way down.
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Temp holding steady around 30.9/31.1 here. DPs rising a bit with the moderate snow but still coming down good.
Rates alone should help keep us snow looking downstream.- 1
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We've actually dropped to 30.5. 28 here at the store in Blowing Rock.
HRRR way off... so far.
Best rates of the season so far as well. Very pretty snow.- 3
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Light snow with a dusting already. Temp at 31.6 but I am concerned with the warm nose the HRRR stubbornly keeps moving in later today.
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HRRR seems to be underestimating the southern and eastern extent of precip, along with intensity.
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We beat our forecast high by a decent amount today but already down to 33/24. Falling pretty fast right now.
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It's been struggling lately. Tending to be over amped.Not to sound like a broken record, but the RGEM has also trended north- 1
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NW mountains are in a weird spot.
I have no real idea what to expect which is strange this close to go time. Off work Tuesday so I need it to do something good lol. -
This is the mountain thread.Hate to be a stickler, but I’d bargain “most” of us live within 30 miles of the triangle, and this looks like hell
So yeah, we ain't mad.- 6
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Evidently there was some thundersnow up north of Boone today.
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Getting some PHAT flakes now. Changed over completely to half dollars for a couple minutes back to a mix now.
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Got a rain/sleet(?) mix falling here. Weird, slushy sleet.
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18z GFS gets the border counties sub-zero on Tuesday morning and very close Saturday morning.
Interestingly the last two times Boone went below zero it happened in back to back winters. Most recently 13-14/14-15. Can we keep the streak alive with a 22-23/23-24? -
This SPC is very optimistic about that warm front progression. Surprised they have anyone North of i-20 in Georgia under a slight risk. NAM has dewpoints around Atlanta still in the low/mid-50s at 6pm tomorrow.
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It tries really hard on Tuesday.18z gfs says what storm lol.
Weird look.- 1
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Solid inch of powder here. Wind whipping even down in my little hole here.
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I have no clue what we ended up with here thanks to the frozen rain gauge. Froze all the way into the box somehow had to take it apart to get the ice out.
How do you guys avoid that? I've got an Ambient station for reference. -
2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
in Southeastern States
Posted
Over 5" now and still pouring.
About time. Winter, I missed you.