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Posts posted by Tyler Penland
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This SPC is very optimistic about that warm front progression. Surprised they have anyone North of i-20 in Georgia under a slight risk. NAM has dewpoints around Atlanta still in the low/mid-50s at 6pm tomorrow.
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It tries really hard on Tuesday.18z gfs says what storm lol.
Weird look.- 1
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Solid inch of powder here. Wind whipping even down in my little hole here.
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I have no clue what we ended up with here thanks to the frozen rain gauge. Froze all the way into the box somehow had to take it apart to get the ice out.
How do you guys avoid that? I've got an Ambient station for reference. -
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The models really keyed in on a wind minimum southeast of the ridgeline. Especially the 3km NAM. Blairsville had a max gust of 48mph this morning on the other side.I have been wondering about that. honestly, there has been almost no wind here so far. a few gusts but I haven't noticed any wind the last couple of hours
however we have had a ton of rain - all the streams are out of their banks and standing water at a lot of intersections. rain has really lightened up the last 30 min or so- 1
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All the sleet/ice from this morning is adding to the runoff here. We have a wet weather creek next to the house and it has more water than I've seen in a very long time.
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Just now went above freezing. Got a little over 1/8" of ice and a half inch of sleet. Enough to make the limbs sag on the trees.
Raingauge is still froze up but it isn't overflowing the intake so once it thaws I'll have a rain reading but it's dumping at the moment.- 1
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Worth noting the convection down along the gulf does seem to be impacting upstream rain intensity. Could help reduce totals a bit.
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30.2 with a solid 1/10" of an ice/sleet mixture stuck to everything. Porch is an ice rink.
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Just got home from GA. Not sure how much snow we actually got but had to be at least an inch. Have that much still left in the shade.
HRRR has a decent amount of wraparound even into GA tomorrow night.- 3
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The line of storms on the 3km NAM looks like it means business Tuesday afternoon. Probably be some sizable gusts with it.
Also the wraparound behind it looks fantastic, albeit relatively short lived.- 4
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18z gfs temps are extremely cold for several days. This is something we've not seen in a long time and are rare for a NINO.[
Yeah looks almost on par with last year's Christmas outbreak.
Definitely the potential there. I'll be very surprised if we make it to the end of the month without a solid snowstorm. Looks like that SSW event is doing it's job.- 1
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Looks like it is snowing in Blowing Rock per the webcam.
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I'm down in GA for the weekend but currently 29/19 back at the house.
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The NWF behind the mid week system still looks good. Euro actually brings a batch through Sunday evening behind Saturdays system now.
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Finally making it to the ground here. Looks decently heavy on the Boone Webcam right now.
Just popped outside and ground is covered pretty good.- 2
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Yall really can't win for losing here the past couple years down there. I thought for sure with the amount of moisture coming through it would bust through that dry level.Decent returns but nothing is making it to ground here unfortunately
I'm sure I'll hear it on the FB posts from the website over the next couple days LOL- 1
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If I had a nickel for every time the Canadian overdid an ice storm I'd have a lot of nickels.
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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
in Southeastern States
Posted
18z GFS gets the border counties sub-zero on Tuesday morning and very close Saturday morning.
Interestingly the last two times Boone went below zero it happened in back to back winters. Most recently 13-14/14-15. Can we keep the streak alive with a 22-23/23-24?