Tyler Penland

3km NAM finally getting on board with Monday. GFS isn't completely on an island anymore.



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Well. That sucked.

Nice coating of sleet/ZR. Now freezing fog at the store in Blowing Rock.

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I thought you would start with snow way up there.. sad. 

Sleet/rain mix here in Foscoe. Saturated a bit quicker than I thought to be honest. Currently 32.


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Enough to coat the deck here this evening. Nice surprise I didn't expect enough moisture to overcome our downsloping.

Hoping the Euro is right for the weekend, could turn out pretty good for the northern mountains.

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Can I order a repeat of this pattern in January? Drop 3-4º off the column and we'd have ourselves a couple nice storms on the way. 

Liking what the GFS is showing for late next week. Hoping the backside of the Tue system produces up high so I can get out and snow hike on Wednesday. 

Future Imelda looking more like it'll bring some heavy rains early next week.

43/68 here today. Beautiful. 

Anybody else getting extra anxious every time the models spit out a gulf hurricane this year? I know any given run is unlikely, but I'm way more nervous than I've ever been. 

7 hours ago, WxKnurd said:

 Next time you do the Beartooth’s you’ll only be 2 hours away from me! Felt amazing last night rolling into Billings with no humidity and low 60’s.  Walked to downtown and back and didn’t sweat, I could get use to this lol.

Nice! My best friend lives in Billings and I went out to see him. We hiked Mt Rearguard which was my first hike up to a 12kft peak (and highest significant hike over 9k). The elevation absolutely whooped my butt but it was worth it. The first night in Yellowstone there was a tinge of frost on the meadow and we dropped to 33/34º, super super nice. 

I got off the plane on my second, and unplanned, connection in DC from Denver and the humidity hit me in the face for the first time in a week. No fun.

Been busy this summer so haven't been on the forum much. Absolutely loving this weather. I went out to Yellowstone and the Beartooths and brought their temperatures back with me so you're welcome. LOL

Absolutely beautiful day yesterday and today. Loving the lower dewpoints.

82.5 here at the house today. Felt like the Wicked Witch of the West screaming "I'm Melting". 

GFS is wildly close to a snow event next Saturday night into Sunday morning. If a little more moisture gets kicked back west it could get interesting. The Euro is much further off the coast with the developing low and overall a bit warmer.

14 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Gfs finally caught onto the second low and cold front dropping down around the 11th that gives us a prolonged flow snow event that would be significant for this time of the year.

NASCAR is coming to Bristol that weekend. You can pretty much bet on either the spring Martinsville or the spring Bristol race being absolutely freezing. Martinsville was straight up hot this year so.....

Wound up with right at an inch and a low of 25 this morning.

Marks my first measurable snowfall since 2/20 (just had a half a dusting on 3/6). 21.1" on the season so just a couple inches below average. If we end here I'll call it a win.

May see some flurries up high tonight.

The more wraparound potential on Thursday. Winter definitely not done.

Tylertown/Bassfield area getting hit by two big ones. Tylertown storms separated by a couple miles at most, big CC drop on both cells.

Watch text: 

"SUMMARY...MULTIPLE SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
EARLY EVENING FROM EASTERN LOUISIANA INTO MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI. WITH
A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE, NUMEROUS TORNADOES ARE
EXPECTED, INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE INTENSE TO VIOLENT
TORNADOES (EF3-4+). SCATTERED LARGE HAIL UP TO 1.5-2.5 INCHES IN
DIAMETER AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60-75 MPH WILL ALSO BE A THREAT AS
THESE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE NORTHEASTWARD. "

Starting to really take off now. Storm motion still pretty N/S, gonna have a hard time getting the storms spaced out for long unless they get a more E/W component to them.

17 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

WaPo says we’re up to 10 - which isn’t terrible from a PDS Warning : Fatality ratio. We’ll see how the numbers settle out. 

13 now. 

That new MD is spine-chilling.

31 minutes ago, olafminesaw said:

My bad, I misremembered. I do feel though they are a world a way climate-wise. Would be nice to have more posters from those states

That area really flocks to TalkWeather in my experience. They have a nearly 200 page thread over there already about this event. It looks a lot like the winter weather threads on this subforum IMO. LOL

Large PDS watch for western TN/KY and North MS. Gonna be a long night, long day and long night tomorrow.

Here's a graphic I made with the times for the site I work for.

Did a few miles up around Grayson Highlands yesterday. Temps were 15-20 with winds gusting at "I needed a pole to hang onto" (50-60). Was pleasantly surprised to catch the ponies out in the open.

Getting downsloped pretty bad right now. Flow must be coming right over Beech (roughly WNW of me). Temp still just above freezing at 33. Wind has really picked up, though. 

Finally switched over to snow.

Still 43 here with sprinkles. Planning to head to Grayson Highlands tomorrow. Hoping for some good rime ice on the trees and a few inches on the ground. Wind gusts of 60+ expected, gotta remember to pack lead for my shoes LOL