Tyler Penland

18z 3km NAM was on board with the light icing across the NW mountains on Monday. 0z running now. Shouldn't be anything significant but a little glaze along the escarpment possible. Big difference to the beautiful weather today.

5 hours ago, Maggie Valley Steve said:

GSP mentioned in their afternoon AFD of a potential for a wintry mix Monday and Tuesday for the higher elevations.

18z GFS is a pretty widespread CAD event. Definitely an interesting pattern with the wedge in place.

Naturally I am down in Georgia with snow up there for the third straight trip. Wife measured 3.5" on the board though, solid storm. Headed back up this afternoon hopefully roads are clearer.

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15 hours ago, WNC_Fort said:

I’m up in blowing rock and just had a nice burst of snow. Lasted about 10 mins been rain ever since

Well, I guess the HRRR was only mostly out to lunch. Sweet- it was the only model that even had that possible.

It is probably completely out to lunch, but the HRRR is very, very close to snow along the escarpment as the low moves through Sunday. 

20 minutes ago, NCBlizzard said:

100% haha. My other half says that's too far from "things"... Alas, so ideally like within ~20-30 minutes of the general Boone/Blowing Rock or Asheville area.

 

Ha fair point. I'm not sure if Boone really qualifies as having "things" but the map does look pretty spot on for my area of the county at least.

Seven Devils would be a good option- I live in Foscoe just down from it and the upper end towards Hawks Nest does really, really well. The Tynecastle/Banner Elk area as a whole is pretty solid with a pretty big drop-off towards Valle Crucis to the north and Linville to the south. 

Obviously Beech is fantastic but the trek up and down can get annoying.

If anyone has a moment, I’d love your thoughts on this “NW-flow snow favorability” map (especially whether it’s capturing the patterns you’d expect). Mobile is a bit rough unless you rotate to landscape. I’ve wanted mountain property for decades, so I’m doing as much pre-analysis as I can haha.
http://44.197.87.201:3839

Don't look now, but....

Right at 2" here at the house. 

NAM really keying in on the little shortwave tomorrow across the Northern Mountains again.

23 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

KJKL radar looks pretty juicy. Delayed but not denied. 

Yeah not bad. Can hear a few gusts up the hill now. Interestingly our power flickered earlier but its been dead calm ever since. 

Considering making my annual freeze-my-butt-off trip to Grayson Highlands tomorrow. Always a fun adventure consisting of trying not to freeze while also remaining upright.

Very underwhelming here so far- hopefully we see it pick up soon but currently on 29.7 with a dusting from the first round. Very little precip since then, even the Beech Mt cams look like not much going on besides some clouds.

Absolutely dumped here in Blowing Rock for a while. It's calmed down now, waiting for the NWF to kick in. Winds are still mostly calm although I suspect that will change shortly.

Yep here she comes.

20 minutes ago, acc fan said:

Tyler, is this a good setup for Boone?

Yeah, especially the CCTI side of town. The bypass area always scores during these type systems. Can see some wide variance from the bypass towards Deep Gap but the NAM has pretty deep moisture for a while tomorrow afternoon/night. 

I've said this a few times this year and I've yet to see any, but once again the 3km NAM looks convective with that initial band tomorrow. At some point one of us has to get lucky with some T-snow. 

Otherwise this looks spectacular. Outside chance I actually get more from this than I did last weekend. We only ended with 5" last weekend, and NAM supports 6-8" at the house. Flow direction is pretty good for me. Banner Elk should definitely be a hotspot this time.

Dumping snow here in Blowing Rock now

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3 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

NAM 3K isn't a bad look for some bonus snow.

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Should be some really pretty wet/sticky stuff on top of that. 

Then NWFS on Friday night. If the snow lingers past midnight there's a chance we could have frozen precip every single day this week except this coming Sunday.

Technically currently have ZR at the house. Air temp is 31.8 with light rain.

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Wednesday night starting to look interesting.  Euro 18z has an inch for some.  Why not?

We've officially got snow flurries falling in Blowing Rock. Little but showing on radar even.

Just straight up light snow now.

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Down to 6 already. Air temp falling fast.

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We're gonna end with 5" after some compaction this afternoon. Bring on the NWFS overnight- can already hear the wind picking up and we just dropped to 9º.

Up to 4". You guys in the south mountains are crushing it. Congrats!

WV looks very healthy back into TN, should keep going for a while.

We're at 3" here in Foscoe. Coming down at a good clip currently but took a while to get going overnight. 

3 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Still visible moon here. Dry air.

HRRR is handling this pretty well. Should really start cranking between midnight and sunrise.