Tyler Penland

Sleeting this morning. Currently 32.5.

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New 3km NAM looks good for the NW border counties, mainly above 3kft looks like and closer to the border is better.
Big improvement over 18z.

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Sunday morning is going to be oh so close for those in Avery, Watauga and Ashe. GFS has a brief thump of snow on the front end but short range models are razor thin margins. Doesn't look like much either way but anything would be better than the 40 and rain that is otherwise forecast. 

is that tanger in blowing rock

Yeah. I'm a manager at the Columbia Sportswear there. That kind of fog is really not good for business lol.

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The fog along the escarpment today was absolutely miserable. Thickest I've seen since we opened up the store in the outlets. Visibility dropped below 50 yards on and off all day.

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Sunday into Monday trending in a very interesting direction.

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Nice, man!

I'm pleasantly surprised how hard it's coming down at times. Wasn't quite sticking at the house when I left but temp was down to 33.

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Windy and warm out there tonight. Currently 56 here at the house. Eerie outside.

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Mighty quite in here considering the chances for snow are trending better each day for snow Sunday morning in our area. 

Shhhhhhhhh.

You'll scare it.

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The RGEM is either the worst or best model at the moment. All on its own showing a zr/ip event for the foothills with a quick snow thump for the NW mountains Monday.

RGEM: 1
Rest of all guidance: 0

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30.9 with light rain. Everything elevated is coated! Sidewalks are also slick. Never underestimate CAD….

27 down here in Foscoe but no precip yet.

Saw there is a 20 car pileup being worked on 421. Currently no way up or down the mountain into Boone with 321, 221 and 181 also train wrecks.

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27 here but no precip yet.

Deep Gap fire shut down 421 due a 20car pileup.

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The RGEM is either the worst or best model at the moment. All on its own showing a zr/ip event for the foothills with a quick snow thump for the NW mountains Monday.

Yeah a nice little whitening of everything. Solid cold morning with a low of 16 here. 

Just enough to cover up all the dead grass and mud. Yard looks much better now. Ha.

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Snow flurries/showers all the way down into North Alabama this evening. Seeing some reports even into the north Atlanta suburbs.

Currently just half a dusting on the cars but hoping for a little more than that.

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Interested to see what we are able to squeeze out tomorrow night with any NWF. NAM/GFS both hinting at the potential for a dusting to top off the rain. Nothing big, though.

Euro/GFS both also showing potential for a light event along the border on Monday. Temps look sketchy, though.

GSP saying the GFS model showing cold and snow is an outlier.  Wasn't the GFS the model that locked on to the last couple of storms?  GSP still says that timeframe still needs watching.  

Yeah it's had a decent run with these storms. It's 5 day verification scores have been suffering the last couple weeks, though. It also is a ways out of line from its own ensembles right now.

Eventually one of these storms will amp up rather than slide off the coast.

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NWS says pretty much ignore GFS..take with a grain of salt

Yeah it's on its own planet. Still got my fingers crossed.

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We have ourselves a storm to track.

Euro has been trending towards this GFS just decided to go all in.

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Euro came in less surpressed. Actually love that look for day 5-7. Very nearly a classic Miller A.

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Who's excited to track next week's ice storm? Haha!
 

GFS is on an island with this one. Even it's own ensembles think it's crazy.

Possible I guess but wanna see other guidance come in less suppressed.

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12.0 at 7:46AM.

Stayed between 12 and 14 for almost 12 hours.

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It looks like parts of Buncombe county got more than Banner Elk

The flow looked a little too N/S oriented for the NW mountains last night. We do better with a little more westward component.

Sent most of the moisture down towards Asheville.

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Only about 1.5" here. We get down sloped pretty bad in this part of the county though.

Congrats to you SW guys!

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That might be the best looking NW flow radar I've ever seen since I moved up here in '15. Absolutely STACKED.

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