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Posts posted by Tyler Penland
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Managed to somehow avoid the teens at 21.2 this morning.
Looking good for some NWFS to celebrate Black Friday. 12km NAM looks like a couple inches at the higher peaks maybe. Curious to see what the hi res shows.
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Made it to 22 for the coldest morning of the season so far.
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Sounds like a perfect night for a lunar eclipse. Gonna have to bundle up for this one. Winds gusting to near 40 in Boone already but calm here at the house.Already down to 40.6° here. Wouldn't be surprised to see flakes mixing in soon.
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Fortunately I take their seasonal forecasts like I prefer the roads around here during winter: lots of salt.The NOAA temperature outlook for winter is about as bad as it gets unfortunately.
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Crisp 24.5 this morning. Surprisingly very little frost. Interested to see how that wave works out tonight. MRX thinking we could get an inch.
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Insane temp rebound today. Started the day below the inversion at 35 and currently 74. Nearly 40 degrees with a few good hours to go.
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Models honing in on a significant trough next weekend. GFS with a nice NWFS event and lows in the teens. Euro a tad milder but still plenty cold but looks a little less impressive on the NWFS, but since when does it handle those particularly well anyways.
Leaves are mostly gone so bring on the snow!!
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Absolutely beautiful on the Parkway with the snow sticking to the fall color. Didn't have time to stop for pics on the way in to work but a beautiful drive. Coming down heavy up at Moses Cone with a dusting.
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Nice snow showers moving through now. Currently 34 here at the house so it ain't gonna stick but nice to see.
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Got flakes in Foscoe. Light rain/snow mix.
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Unofficially some flurries in Blowing Rock a bit ago per watauga online. Wasn't doing anything when I left the store at 6.
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Liking the trends on the 3k NAM today. Definitely looking wetter.
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Not surprising. I was out and about hitting some waterfalls with color today and it was COLD.They are getting snow on top of Beech ski mountain. First flakes of the season.
This is one of the best years for color I've seen, though.
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18z GFS with a nice NWF event around Halloween.
I'll be at the Martinsville cup race on Halloween so I can pretty much guarantee cold, damp weather.
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GFS doubling down on a nice cold snap late next week. Still in the extended but nice to see it showing a widespread freeze for the mountains.
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First off congrats met! I got married down in Maggie a couple years ago. Absolutely love that area and hope to live down there one day.
Had a weird couple temp days. Stalled at 44 on Monday morning while it was cooler pretty much all around. Looked like we were gonna stall around 47 last night but we made it beneath the inversion about 3AM and hit 36 with some frost.
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Wound up with 7.00" exactly from Tuesday night through this afternoon. Bring on some drier weather.
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The rain rates in these showers today has been insane. I'm well over 3" on the day and this last batch maxed at 1.70" an hour.
Was raining so hard in Blowing Rock around 6:20 you couldn't see across the parking lot.
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1 hour ago, Maggie Ace said:
October is starting very wet across the Mountains. Rain started mid day yesterday here in Maggie and continues throughout the week. Our Poplar trees are dumping leaves which is about a month earlier than last fall. Fall colors are going strong now below 5000 feet. The heavier rains expected mid week may bring an early end to leaf season around the Smokies.
Yeah I'm worried about what color there is on Grandfather surviving this week. I've got some days off to do some photography next week but there may not be a whole lot to see, particularly with it not being all that cool to get lower elevations going too.
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Meh. Doesn't look like a scorcher either. I'm perfectly fine with the pattern we've had this past week. Absolutely beautiful out and just cool enough to get the leaves started.I hate to be that guy but I don't see any frost or freeze threats through at least mid October unless something drastically changes.
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On 9/24/2021 at 4:23 PM, BlueRidgeFolklore said:
I'll have the pitchfork ready if this winter bombs.
Looks like a brief warm snap this week but then cooler by next weekend. I'm ready for the leaves to get going.
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Not me. I'm 0/2 on good winters when I started it, though I did see that 16"er one of those winters (and absolutely nothing else).I think it is safe to start a fall/winter thread whenever. Ill let someone else try to bring the good juju this year.
Made it to 38 at the house with patchy frost, especially down along the creek.
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I was driving home in that severe warning earlier and that line meant business. Limbs and leaves going everywhere and pushing the car around.So far in Wolf I've picked up 68" of rain and 2" of tree limbs from Ida. This is more wind energy than I expected.
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0z hi res NAM hits the northern escarpment with a swath of 4-6".
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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
in Southeastern States
Posted
Inversion looks pretty high up this time looking at current temps. We're down to 23, thinking we may get our first teens.