Tyler Penland

Mighty quite in here considering the chances for snow are trending better each day for snow Sunday morning in our area. 

Shhhhhhhhh.

You'll scare it.

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The RGEM is either the worst or best model at the moment. All on its own showing a zr/ip event for the foothills with a quick snow thump for the NW mountains Monday.

RGEM: 1
Rest of all guidance: 0

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30.9 with light rain. Everything elevated is coated! Sidewalks are also slick. Never underestimate CAD….

27 down here in Foscoe but no precip yet.

Saw there is a 20 car pileup being worked on 421. Currently no way up or down the mountain into Boone with 321, 221 and 181 also train wrecks.

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27 here but no precip yet.

Deep Gap fire shut down 421 due a 20car pileup.

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The RGEM is either the worst or best model at the moment. All on its own showing a zr/ip event for the foothills with a quick snow thump for the NW mountains Monday.

Yeah a nice little whitening of everything. Solid cold morning with a low of 16 here. 

Just enough to cover up all the dead grass and mud. Yard looks much better now. Ha.

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Snow flurries/showers all the way down into North Alabama this evening. Seeing some reports even into the north Atlanta suburbs.

Currently just half a dusting on the cars but hoping for a little more than that.

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Interested to see what we are able to squeeze out tomorrow night with any NWF. NAM/GFS both hinting at the potential for a dusting to top off the rain. Nothing big, though.

Euro/GFS both also showing potential for a light event along the border on Monday. Temps look sketchy, though.

GSP saying the GFS model showing cold and snow is an outlier.  Wasn't the GFS the model that locked on to the last couple of storms?  GSP still says that timeframe still needs watching.  

Yeah it's had a decent run with these storms. It's 5 day verification scores have been suffering the last couple weeks, though. It also is a ways out of line from its own ensembles right now.

Eventually one of these storms will amp up rather than slide off the coast.

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NWS says pretty much ignore GFS..take with a grain of salt

Yeah it's on its own planet. Still got my fingers crossed.

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We have ourselves a storm to track.

Euro has been trending towards this GFS just decided to go all in.

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Euro came in less surpressed. Actually love that look for day 5-7. Very nearly a classic Miller A.

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Who's excited to track next week's ice storm? Haha!
 

GFS is on an island with this one. Even it's own ensembles think it's crazy.

Possible I guess but wanna see other guidance come in less suppressed.

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12.0 at 7:46AM.

Stayed between 12 and 14 for almost 12 hours.

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It looks like parts of Buncombe county got more than Banner Elk

The flow looked a little too N/S oriented for the NW mountains last night. We do better with a little more westward component.

Sent most of the moisture down towards Asheville.

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Only about 1.5" here. We get down sloped pretty bad in this part of the county though.

Congrats to you SW guys!

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That might be the best looking NW flow radar I've ever seen since I moved up here in '15. Absolutely STACKED.

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Coming down good on the Parkway above Linville. Visibility down to 3-400 yards if that.

Temp 28 up here.


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Got a few rogue flakes breaking through here south of Boone.

Temp is warmer than I expected at this point though currently 37.0/24.0



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We ready for whatever gents?

Gotta go scrape the ice off my snow measuring board. Ha.

Don't know if it means much of anything but none of the models have that band developing over TN/AL. Mping reports show its reaching the ground in at least some spots too.

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Looks like a temporary break from the cold for a few days. But after that cutter it gets cold again.

I'm good with my driveway actually melting.

This may be the longest I've had widespread multiple inches of snow (now ice) on the ground. Going on 2 weeks and should eclipse that easily.

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Yep. All you gotta do is loop the H5 maps and see how this is trending. Also, the surface is under done even on that NAM run. 

Yeah unfortunately I just don't see it getting back this far. I certainly hope so but I'm very doubtful.

We should do well with the NWFS anyways. And I doubt this winter is over just yet.

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Trend has been generally sharper/digging trough on the American models last couple days.

Would like to see the euro join in.

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GFS with a solid border county hit. Nearly a foot at elevation this run.

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WPC updated 5 day graphic has introduced a snow chance for the Mountains. 

I would think that regardless of phase location we'll see at minimum a nice NWFS event on the backside. Even the Euro wraps some moisture around and it's the latest phase of the globals right now.

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