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dan11295

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Everything posted by dan11295

  1. dan11295
    One minor piece of good news is central/eastern PR finally has a break in the rainfall over the past hour. Unfortunately they are not done with the rain yet with more heavy bands to go through.
  2. dan11295
    What was your biggest storm last winter?
  3. dan11295
    Seeing 3 WU PWS reports of 7.2-7.8" in the Smithfield RI area. Also a couple 7.3-7.5" further west as well.
  4. dan11295
    Current estimate is ~5" in your area. So i would knock 20% off those radar estimates
  5. dan11295
    Digital storm totals might be a tad overdone, PWS i am seeing have 4.5-4.7" where 5-5.5" are estimated currently. Of course it depends on PWS accuracy/siting etc. Regardless, current trends on radar are problematic for this corridor.
  6. dan11295
    Not in Cranston, but farther to your west going toward Foster there are multiple stations with 4.2-4.7". There is a sharp cutoff to the heaviest totals in your area.
  7. dan11295
    That Foster-Cranston/PVD corridor had gotten hammered last 2 hours. 4-5+ widespread in that corridor now.
  8. dan11295
    Ground truth at the radar estimates so far are pretty accurate.
  9. dan11295
    3km NAM is certainly looking better than 12k NAM atm, even if location and QPF of jackpot areas will be off on the 3k. You are getting these quick cells that drop 3-4" in spots then weaken and move on. If you get any training then you might have problems, otherwise stuff has time to run off it seems so far.
  10. dan11295
    Hilarious how we are talking about bumps west like it's a winter storm
  11. dan11295
    So last 6 days at KBOS 98 95 97 98 98 98+ pretty impressive
  12. dan11295
    When doesn't it?
  13. dan11295
    FYI the 8.62" they have had so far today would rank as the #5 Wettest JULY on record.
  14. dan11295
    No snow?
  15. dan11295
    the Logan number looks pretty good. seeing 15-16" reports in SE Mass. The airport is almost in the heaviest banding right now.
  16. dan11295
    100k outages in MA now. A lot in southern in southern Bristol-PYM counties.
  17. dan11295
    28k out now in PYM County and Cape Cod. Given that we havent gotten to peak winds yet will def have issues in those areas for sure.
  18. dan11295
    Winds have really picked up here in the past hour. Fair amount of blowing/drifting even with only a couple inches. Difficult to measure as others are said.
  19. dan11295
    power outages starting to creep up 7k now. Going to be an issue in areas with wetter snow as mentioned before.
  20. dan11295
    1.2" here at 7 am. Echos here were really light until the past hour.
  21. dan11295
    Getting into some decent rates here as that NW RI band works northeastward. Probably only couple inches on the ground here (will measure shortly).
  22. dan11295
    Looked at last hourly obs SE MA/cape/RI winds are 30-35 sustained with 45 mph gusts already. Snow just isn't heavy enough for blizz criteria yet. Nice looking band from ILM-Hopkinton MA. Near coastal areas Scituate-Pembroke area look to be getting some decent snows with that fetch. Potential jack area which has model support.
  23. dan11295
    18z EURO brought me off the ledge. Getting just about nowcast time with low already formed. .
  24. dan11295
    I am certainly not a pro met, but it would seem upping totals at this stage is simply not supported by guidance. .
  25. dan11295
    12-18" ORH east 16-20" with spot 24" SE MA seems to be 12z EURO/GFS/NAM. Pedestrian NW of there.
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