dan11295
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Everything posted by dan11295
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March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
dan11295 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
155k without power now. As said above I am sure a lot of weakened trees/branches are coming down -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
dan11295 replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
I think we can easily knock 3-4" off accumulations in SE Mass/Cape. Even here in Metrowest the roads are still wet. Looking at 5 am obs pretty much everyone is reporting snow, even ACK, but many temps are still above freezing making it tough to accumulate -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I know they are moving it to another location, mainly because they realised that if the tornado was further south, If could have possibly hit both St. John's and Freeman (the other regional hospital in the area) at the same time. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
No offense but I do not think Springfield tornado should compared to those other two events. It was a major event for this area but there is no comparision to the loss of life and degree of destructive that occurred. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Read this morning that another person has died due to injuries. Sad testament to the violent nature of this event. Have not read any estimates as to how many are still hospitalized though. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Unfortunately the death toll in Joplin may rise more due to those who are critically injured. We had two additional fatalites from the 4/27 storm in Tuscaloosa within the past week. One was a woman whose child died in the storm. She was admitted to the ICU and never recovered. The other was an elderly man who contracted pneumonia after getting wet in the storm. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As I listen to more and more interviews with regards to how people fared in commercial structures, if is more and more clear that buildings with freezers/coolers or similar structures within the building provided a generally effective means of shelter. CNN had an interviews with people in the Dillon's who it appears all survived by getting the the cooler. Similar story in the Pizza Hut, except for an employee who perished trying to keep the door closed from the outside. As we know sadly those in the "big box" stores did not far so well. Lack of addtiional enclosure combined with the larger concentration of people were likely both contributing factors. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Updated page from Springfield, MO NWS office on the tornado identifes 4 different location along the track where EF-5 damage was determined to have occurred. Appears EF-5 damage began near the hospital and continued until the eastern end of the Commercial/Industrial area on E 20th St. We should get a more detailed report in the coming days I imagine. I am sure they are being more thorough with this report than for most other events given the severity. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That would explain why the death toll jumped by 6 today. We can note that none of them were found in buildings. Makes me still hope that very few are still to be found. As far as the morgue, I imagine there reasoning is many of the bodies are probably in very bad shape, not readily identifiable. I understand the families want closure but if the winds are as strong as suggested above you can imagine what that could have done, without getting too gruesome on here. So they are getting them identified via other means then cleaning them first then releasing them at that point. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I am guessing one reason there was little ground scouring was that the winds, although strong at the ground surface were not able to travel unimpeded over soil for enough distance. i.e. Almost all areas where strongest winds occurred were developed. Also I don't think all EF-5's produce scouring. Ability to scour also depends on soil type and shape of the landscape I imagine. It is much easier to scour a plowed field then lawn. an 4/9/11 EF-1 in Souix Falls was able to scour a plowed field -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I was looking for what the Max. estimates speeds were in the other EF-5's? I know from last month: Hackleburg, AL: 210 Philadelphia, MS: 205 Smithville, MS 205 Not sure about Parkersburg or Greensburg -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Glad to hear you are O.K. Really telling to know even though you were following the situation very closely and saw the couplet on radar before you took shelter, because the storm intensified so rapidly you did not realize the severity of the storm until afterwords. From that and other accounts many people did not know a tornado was upon them until the began to see debris. Yes they heard the sirens but they may not have thought too much of them. On a sad note they are still finding more victims. Toll has risen to 132. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
They are having structural engineers look at the building. My guess is it will need a lot of work but they wont have to demolish the entire structure. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It is very clear this is a matter of very bad luck. Tornado developed quickly, becoming large violent and rain wrapped just it is is moving into a densely populated area where the surrounding area is mostly farmland. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
They have searched the debris area 4 times now and have not turned up anyone living or deceased since Tuesday. Not to say additional people may not be buried, But I suspect that the number would be very small (single digits). Undoubtedly some of those missing are at the morgue but currently unidentified. That should account for 30 of the mssing. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Some amazing and sobering aerial images of Joplin from the Daily Mail Give a good idea of the scope of the destruction and the path of the storm. The pictures of the Home Depot are rather sobering. That building took the full force of the tornado. People who tried to take shelter next to a wall would have been crushed most likely. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That happened in Tuscaloosa as well with 400+ initially reported missing, and I believed they accounted for everyone without finding additional loss of life So I am confident almost all of those simply have communication issues. Also, we were talking about the Big Box stores yesterday. The Joplin Globe has a story which has a statement from Wal-Mart indicating lives were lost in that building. Read elsewhere lives were also lost at the Home Depot (numbers unknown at this time). -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
from KOAM: Updated at 12:45 pm: The Associated Press is reporting a nursing home owner says Sunday's tornado killed 11 from his property alone. Sad but not surprising. Nursing home residents are very vulnerable in this kind of event.. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Re: shopping centers/commercial areas. Historically at least recently there have been very few fatalities in commercial structures, as they are constructed better and they often have more secure areas in their interiors to seek shelter. A well played video today shows people survived in one building by getting in the freezer. People have also used bank vaults to the same affect (not relavent specifically here as it was a Sunday). Big box stores are probably more vulnerable. Will have to see if their were many deaths in the Rangeline area. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A more recent comparison is the Tuscaloosa tornado last month. Both were relatively close in strength, both went to cities of comparable size and the total damage area is each community looks to be somewhat similar (Tuscaloosa storm carved a longer path as the city is somewhat larger but the Joplin storm may have been a bit wider). The Joplin storm hit more tightly packed blocks of single family residences whereas in Tuscaloosa more damage was done to apartments. Hopefully we can get an idea of the number of people in the core damage path in Joplin (it was about 6,000 people in Tuscaloosa). Tuscaloosa storm was better warned, more visible and awareness was more hightened in general. Neither of the too community had many dwelling with basments. Mobile homes are a non factor in either case. Tuscalossa was a weekend, Joplin a Sunday. All variables that will have to be examined as do why so many more died in Joplin. -
Devastating tornado strikes Joplin, Missouri
dan11295 replied to Hoosier's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Obviously we do know yet if any one location had a high number of fatalities. Though from other forums I had read there were 4 at the hospital and 7 at a nursing home. Note that a nursing home was hit in Tuscaloosa also I believe, but IIRC that had been evacuated/taken some other shelter beforehand. There is no question that the combination of time (Sunday afternoon) how fast it developed and the fact it was rain-wrapped were all contributing factors. From reviewing the warnings it was obviously warned, but none of the warnings indicated a large/violent tornado was possible until it was already mostly through the city.Only the last warning as it was entering the city included on-the-ground confirmation. Only so much you can do to warn when it spins up that fast. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
dan11295 replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Some good news here. Apparently 3 people were just pulled alive in Concord, AL. Of course that also raises the possibity of finding more fatalities. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
dan11295 replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I would suspect (fortunately) that a high percentage of those have simply gone to relatives etc. That is often the case in these kind of events. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
dan11295 replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That statement is based on the reports published at the time of the events. Wikipedia lists two outbreaks with more fatalities, one in 1920 and other in 1936. The pages for both those events indicate that fatalities from many outbreaks prior to 1950 may have been undercounted because African-Americans were often excluded from official reports. -
Historic Tornado Outbreak April 27, 2011
dan11295 replied to CUmet's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Mind boggling, and very sad. Of course we all knew going into that day that a major outbreak was very likely, but you just never know when an event can go from something mundate to devastating. Too many large, violent storms hitting populated areas Some of which likely had no power from earlier in the day. which is something that will have to be analyzed wrt this event. How many of the communities with significant fatalities got no/limited forewarning due to loss of power from that severe MCS in the morning?
