Jackstraw

You went conservative, I big dogged it at 2-14 lmao.

KIND's afternoon AFD reflects that uncertainty. A 1 degree flux in temp either way, especially along I70, could men the difference between 3 inches and 6 inches or more Really riding the line.

Lol love it. Horizontal Avalanche... Multiple days of freezing drizzle has resulted in "Teflon Snow" outside. Ok, that`s not an official term, but that thin smooth crust should really allow the fluffy snow to drift ideally.

Is that where the FV3 lives? lol..

I know how to use my measuring board properly now! Probably won't do much good with the wind, I'll just slant stick into the easterlies lol.

Those lake effect mesos are a thing of beauty.

Their Point and Click forecast has 3-5 during the day tomorrow and 3-5 more tomorrow night.

I honestly don't know what to expect here. 2-14? lol

It's a bit of an outlier with those totals but I've got to give it a tip of the hat because of it's performance last week. Heck the 18Z HRRR is dropping a foot on Bloomington lol.

With the ice potential and 40mph wind gusts yeah probably There's still a lot of uncertainty on the snow totals right along I70.

You may not have "kissed" something but those 850's are giving you a big fat one. on that run lol. Speaking of which that initial narrow band right along I70, is that a bit of an 850 Fgen band? I seem to remember one of the AFD's mentioning that last night.

Hoosier, please delete this thread and let Cyclone start a new one before it's too late

Southern convection messing with all of them

Just 5 more miles NW please, is that asking for too much?....

KIND has been slow to pull the trigger this whole event. They have real (and justified) concerns on the warm nose affecting totals.

Don't leave that magnet on too long

Lol. Should me re-named Helms Deep Hwy. I've been worried about these 850's all week. I don't have the advantage of any phasing over here just to your west, it's all gonna be defo or go home over here. Hopefully I can squeeze 6 out of this maybe another 8 before I get rained on next week. Definitely think better totals as it moves East. May have to put up with some slop in the beginning . Of course last weekend the models slashed totals right up to the event and we basically got what they were spitting out 72 hours prior.

DARPA built some kind of weather machine inside I70. It's uncanny how many times the battle of good and evil is right along that road lol.

Yeah, 30 hours of painstakingly 8 inch accumulations after 5 years of Nada! lol. We're rightfully greedy lol.

Was looking at the SPC severe outlooks and they've been a little inconsistent down south too Maybe it has something to do with +/- moisture robbing from convection not being handled well?

Well I gotta ride the fv3 24 out, my shrine is built prayer service has started

I'd say every 50 pages, don't know how many posts that is.

Yeah I've been worried about those 850's for a few days now. With a weaker ridge and the surface low amping up on the models the last 5 days it puts Central In/I70 back where we usually are with these things. The nose of that low level jet is right on my doorstep as modeled right now. I69 and points east look better to cash in on any phasing. We're gonna miss out on the bulk of any Fgen snows. Things are still a bit up in the air though. This little Pied Piper wave cut about 3 or 4 inches off the existing snowpack so hopefully we all can get a good 6 inch topper to clean it up. Then we gotta worry about a real potential rainer before the ice box sets in next week.

Maybe Weatherbo will invite us up for a Superior 24 inch hammer time lol

The nose gets right up there for a bit but moves on east fairly rapidly I think points right along I70 in central IN maybe a little north could see some mixing on the onset but hopefully that's it. We're used to that anyway lol.