Jackstraw

Guess theres enough of us weather nerds to support a movie being made. Wasn't to bad actually... https://smile.amazon.com/gp/video/detail/B0812BZF9D/ref=atv_hm_hom_1_c_ZWyNDQ_0YgTDE_1_1

Got another 3 for a storm total of 7.5. I'll take it we may not see snow around here for another month lol

It's still snowing here

Didnt last long maybe got another inch but it just lit up again an hour ago. Was hoping for a nice defo or trowal but this thing seems to be getting moisture starved this far west Forcing is there just nothing to work with I guess.

Lol and just as I posted that I looked out the window and its ripping out of the blue. I'll post every 5 min till we get a Bo worthy 20 lol

Well I know this event wasn't a big deal to our friends to the North but us down here in the hinterlands are enjoying it. A lot of winters it takes us a 4 incher and 3 clippers to hit a single storm total for the I80 crew lol. Been battling dry air again around here as the moisture slowly tries to re- build N. Think an additional 2-3 is definitely possible.

KIND upped to WSW with now expected storm totals of 5-9 inches.

Up over 4 here. Back to finer dendrites but still coming at a good clip. Points north reporting 4.5 to 5 just noticed KIWX issued a WWA. Now the 00Z models are hinting at another 4-6 possible tomorrow evening into Tues. along I70. Throw another 4 on top of what I have and I'm happy till Friday lol.

Think the Canuk pulled a coup at least with this first wave and distribution. See how the defo sets up tomorrow evening. Thats going to be the icing or the burnt crispys on the cake lol

Just came back in from a ride. 3 here and still going. Yep theyre a mess. Ill never understand why they plow all the way to the freezing pavement, expose liquid water to sub freezing air, and take away 2 or 3 inches of snow you can use for traction (for that matter 4 or 5) Geez leave me some snow to grab

Starting to really pick up here. Medium to fine dendrites but lots with a light SE breeze. That stronger band that was in S IN is just south. Guessing 1/2 inch in the last 30 - 45 min.

Looking back into IL think parts of KLOT and KIWX areas could get a bit of a surprise by early am. Only issue right now is dry air but that seems to be slowly eroding. Just started dropping some floaters here.

Noticed that also. Its good timing for the I70 crew being at night. Points S and SW were forecast with higher storm total amounts due to this first wave but from the looks of things back west as you said there could be a larger swath of initial amounts especially north. If can stay out of any warm nose with the second one tomorrow could see some nice spread the wealth amounts through central IL, IN and even into Central and NE OH and even some points north. Id say IF that happens the Canuk scored a coup as its been very consistent in such a scenario over the last 48 hours or so.

Could pinger town finally have it's it's vengeance?

Albeit that's usually me after midnight, but that damn near made me spit out my coffee lol.

Also it's the annual battle of the AFD's. KIND has me at 4-6 with FRZA mixing in, and curiously only a WWA for technically warning criteria snow. IWX, 2 miles to my north, has me at 2-4 with no mixing issues and curiously no WWA with technically advisory criteria amounts. Baffled a bit, they both betting high? Let the winter games begin lol.

I don't dare throw out a guess this far out around here (36 hrs lol) in mid Dec. Still big chance its gonna be a slush fest. Model soundings vary but there's warm tongues floating around from 500 down to 925 depending on the model. Hate I70 App runners this early. 00Z OP runs made a pretty significant shift south except for the Canuk who thinks it's January although it's been very consistent in it's solutions run to run comparatively. I will be pleasantly surprised or normally disappointed either way. Such is winter life nowadays along the whiteknuckle I70 line. Bring on the clippers

I'm at the 6th deadly sin

Thar's one thing about living here in the hinterland of winter anxiety, getting hopes up is mea culpa. But on the flip side if it does happen it's like a one night stand with the Lawrence Welk girls in a tub of olive oil

Last 5 runs of the Euro have been pretty consistent on 4-6 inches from about 30 miles east of me all the way up through Toledo inside 72 hours, then another 3-4 with the second system. I'd lock it in except it's all alone with that forecast. Timing is going to be the secret (as it usually is around here until January). Get something coming through during the overnight our chances for snow increase 2 fold.

Euro, GFS and Canuk all have something coming through the Ohio valley around the 23rd-24th with the Euro down by the river, the Canuk just north of Chitown and the GFS running along I-70.

Thanks for the jinx. I'll buy some coconut oil and keep a couple pairs of shorts out for a Xmas cookout now lol.

My big sugar maples just dropped 5 inches of leaves the last 2 days if I slant stick it. If the NAM verifies in the short term and then a refresh midweek it'll look like a foot lol. Btw, is depth to measured off the dirt or whatever is above the dirt. If it's above I'll stop mowing the end of August so I can feel good about a 2 inch misery snow

Yeah I was surprised to see this much discussion on a GFS run this far out. Think the Halloween event triggered some irrational thinking like if you had a first date with the head cheerleader in high school and she teased you into thinking the second date was going to be THE date lol. Regardless I bought a bottle of my winter single barrel a little early this year just in case.

You mean like 5 years ago the GFS would spit out a 10 day clown map of 2 feet from St. Louis to Detroit or the last couple years a 3 day clown map of 36 inches from Dallas to Toledo. I swear the last couple years all of the models have been terrible. The local forecast offices need to get off the model teet and get back to some good old fashioned forecasting. Don't bash me I'm just sayin'. Reliance on technology can be a crutch when there's a bug in the system. Youtube, Tesla, sleeping drivers. Just sayin'