snywx
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Everything posted by snywx
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You guys in Sullivan should do very well with this. Rock Hill, MSV areas are prob a lock for 6-8". As long as we dont see any sneaky warmth in the mid levels here in northern orange we should be good for 4"+
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36° w/ lots of sunshine currently. I do think Orange goes to a warning for 4-8". WWA for Rockland & W Passaic for 2-3". Once you cross the Hudson south of the Putnam/Westcher border is prob primarily a rain event with some snow to start. I-84 is the new "NW of 287" line
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I think 84 is still the marker. Even the warmer NAM is 5-7” in the area. Amounts do dramatically drop off to the SE -
Not sure if you are aware but we do have an interior thread that gets fairly active during interior only events.
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Unless you are in Sussex, Orange , Dutchess into NWCT there isn’t much interest in this storm. Most of this forum is in NYC, LI, urban Jersey where it’s gonna be 95% rain
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Sloatsburg will prob be the transition line between accumulating snow & white rain. I’ve seen this story many times before. Rockland especially with these gradient storms is a snow hole. To get into the 5” + amounts you prob want to be in northern Sussex/w Passaic into Orange County. Watches should be going up for Orange/Sussex in the next update
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3k NAM is more in line with most guidance. 5-8”
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The NAM absolutely crushed our area lol. 12-18” is def not happening with this system. I would say 4-8” is prob more realistic.
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As of right now every piece of model guidance has a general 4-7" from E PA/Sussex into Orange and through Putnam/Dutchess. The exception being the NAM.
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28° here
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At hr78 it has a 988 parked over HFD. lol gotta love the NAM
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Agreed. That 1-2 degree difference could make a difference Initally with accumulation
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I don’t see elevation really being a factor other than if/when the transition occurs to either rain or ZR. Latitude is gonna be the key here. At 4 days out , it’s really looking like 84 is gonna be the marker between warning level snows & nuisance event
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Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Christmas may come early for us interior peeps next week
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Ukmet has a similar look now. Snow to rain for the city, heavy snow interior
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I think he’s talking about the Midwest event on Sunday
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Icon pretty much has the snow line cutting Orange County in half aka I-84
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More of a chance of rain than a whiff IMO
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Down to 26 here this morning
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Another morning below freezing 29 right now
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Another hard freeze here currently 27
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.52 here sharp cutoff within the county
