Your points are for sure valid for the next 10 days and I tend to agree with you. I think what everyone here and on Twitter is saying is the 12-15 day and beyond (I know dubious but all guidance has it). +5 temps in eastern Canada is still plenty cold for our source area for a good storm track. The December storm had the H5 go north of us and never close off until it was well past us and it still was a good storm for many. I think what everyone is trying to say is that we don’t need below normal anomalies in Canada in mid Jan for it to snow here.