LP08
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Everything posted by LP08
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CMC is close to 8° colder at the surface compared to the gfs at 0z Monday.
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I’ve seen this movie before. I still think we do ok up here in regards to the WAA thump but being on the southern fringe of a developing ccb is usually a losing scenario. I think 6-8 is a safe call here.
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This is the fear I have...we miss the meat of the WAA and miss the ccb just NE. Still a good storm but it’s the way we fail near the city.
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Man I might melt down if I ended up in this donut...lol
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Best run yet.
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Seemed appropriate.
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I’d make a bet that dc doesn’t get to 38° on Monday at 7am.
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Gfs looks very similar to 12z. Major deform action into md and some into dc.
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Sooo...can us near DC crew complain now about the North movement on the EURO or is that only reserved for the northerners and south trends? Asking for a friend.
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Snow breaking out by 12z Sunday.
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H5 a little flatter than 6z. Heights slightly lower out in front at 45
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Didn't see the CMC Kuchera map, for posterity of a true beat down.
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I made a post last night about the cmc and a mysterious blob of Max vorticity over pa that pulled the H5 Vort north. 0z had it, 12z does not.
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Best part about having kids is getting to eat chicken nuggets and Kraft Mac and cheese again...oh...and bagel bites!
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GFS is a great hit.
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GFS colder than 12z. Deform looks to hit DC and NE
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It always comes down to unrealistic expectations based on some Kuchera Snow map from range. I guarantee people still have that 30"+ euro run in their head and everything thing else is a disappointment. It happens every time we have a storm thread. It's annoying but it is what it is. Guidance looks pretty good for a very snowy day SUnday and I'm pretty stoked about it.
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Freezing line stays just east of 95 before crashing once the coastal takes over at 12z Monday. 850s are still issue however.
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Northern friends will like the tick north on the NAM.
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I’m telling friends 3-6 through Sunday and to flush ice cubes Sunday night for an additional 3-6 on Monday.
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Yeah. Main WAA goes through central va. Deform is dc and ne
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Wow...Ukie is a huge hit.
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Ukie is a central va jack with the WAA and deform through the area
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Gefs mean temps are quite warm. Over 1.2” of precip but barely 6” on the snow mean. I know we shouldn’t use mean temps but its something.
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I’m not as smart as most here but here is the CMC at 500. Seems like a suspicious Max vorticity that draws everything further north comparing to 12z. Maybe someone smarter can chime in.
