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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. 18z Euro shifted accumulations about 15 miles nw, fwiw. Edit to add: Better end of storm than 12z just basing off of quick glance snow maps
  2. Not a wishcast but just a realistic question that I hope I won't get berated for...Is it a typical track for a storm to shoot from ILM to the mouth of the bay or would a storm seek out the baroclinic zone just offshore? I don't have the memory that most do on here with storms but it seems like an odd track to shoot up the bay then east. Thanks!
  3. Closer in we get all of a sudden the euro is the best outcome for us closer to the beltways and its all from the initial slug.
  4. A low into the Chesapeak bay isn't going to do any good. A touch colder to start but cant fight that track off.
  5. 54 snow into the majority of the forum.
  6. Through 48. 850s are a touch south compare to 0z.
  7. Yes its the NAM, but through 36 it has some better confluence and heights along the east coast.
  8. I think my goal for Wednesday now is to not get to 38° and pound rain. I’d consider a 1-3 front end with an inch after would be a huge win.
  9. Just going off the crude maps....soundings support closer 32. We will fight temps when rates let up.
  10. Surface stays at about 33-35 immediate metro area.
  11. Dc never loses 850s through 75...low offshore
  12. At 66...light stuff moving in. Low just off ILM...850 south of ezf.
  13. Shhhh...extended RGEM keeps arlington west below freezing for the duration on Wednesday
  14. Icon is further south and much better than 18z fwiw (not a lot I know)
  15. Nam isn’t going to make many friends I’m afraid. Storm is west of va beach
  16. It’s tiny but I’d think with rates we could at least fight off rain.
  17. 84 just off VA beach. Slightly east than 6z....850 along 95 it seems
  18. At 81...thumping with the 850 line through EZF
  19. 21z...850 north of dc...warmer than 12z
  20. 18z Wednesday heavy snow...850 line south of EZF
  21. Sipping this while waiting for the pork butt to hit 10 hours in the smoker. Big fan of the New Belgium’s.
  22. 108..850 line bisecting dc. A shellacking.
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