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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. Belchertown looks like its getting hit good. At least the eastern part
  2. oh wait...I totally misread your post you're talking about the SE NY storms
  3. Was going to go outside and take a picture of the sky but with all these bolts from the blue I’m afraid a strike will get me in the Fanny
  4. Not so sure these things will have much deviant motion. They're probably going to train along the boundary and may shift some with the boundary but these should be more pulse like.
  5. Thought I heard thunder. Checked the radar and storms just to my north and west. Go outside and look northwest and sky is totally dark. Every other direction barely a cloud in the sky
  6. This site has a slew of different products you can create graphs for. I wish it was a little more user friendly but its top notch https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?q=76
  7. Yup...this is where I really wish we had steeper lapse rates present. Ultimately, the better ingredients happen during the evening and overnight. Obviously we lose peak instability during this period, but if we had steep lapse rates we would maintain alot of the CAPE. But that is a pretty decent shortwave. Wish it was coming through during peak heating.
  8. Kind of sucks the next few days in the convective department because the best forcing/dynamics are displaced from the best llvl moisture and instability. Looks like the better dynamics and forcing remain behind the cold front. Despite this, Wednesday may be the most widespread day for showers and thunderstorms and we'll see some localized stronger storms. Will see some flash flooding potential Wednesday as there may be multiple rounds.
  9. Going to be tough timing everything out. Wednesday may be a bit of a disconnect between the greatest dynamics/forcing and instability. Monday - Wednesday though should be active in the shower/thunderstorm department. Subtle shortwaves traversing through and pre-frontal troughs should be mechanisms to get things going. The greatest overall severe potential may be across NY/PA but we'll have to see. If we had more of an EML Wednesday, we would be talking about overnight severe threat here.
  10. I think some need to spend more time in the heat/humidity
  11. Sucks we lose the steeper lapse rates for Wednesday but Monday and Wednesday could be fun (though Monday may be a later show).
  12. That's what I am leaning towards as well but that is some big time anomalous ridging poking into the Arctic circle. Haven't been looking much into the larger picture but looks like some big changes occur across Eastern Asia these next few days which plays a significant role across the PAC and western NA
  13. We'll have to watch as we get closer but that is a pretty decent trough/front next week advertised by the GFS. That could certainly shake things up for a bit and we'll have to see how long it takes to recover. We'll get humidity back more quickly (maybe not the oppressive stuff though) but the hotter temps may get to the OV and deflect southeast.
  14. Gotta feel for the West...doesn't look like any relief there anytime soon. But maybe we can continue to pinch off some EML plumes during the second half of July.
  15. Maybe its an opening to the 4th dimension or a time travel portal.
  16. And yes, I totally was off on today! Kudos to everyone.
  17. He’s having an MRI in the morning. They said it’s definitely spinal related and it may be a slipped disk which they can remove if that’s the case. Based on the situation, I’m thinking/hoping that is the best case scenario. I’d imagine recovery from that shouldn’t be too long. Recovery from his ACL surgery a few years back was like 6-8 months (he healed on the faster side).
  18. Not sure, guessing it is related to the back issue which happened last December. We went outside to play and outside for 2 seconds…he did his happy jump and twisted and went down screaming. He has zero movement or control of his back legs. He dragged himself across the yard and kept trying to stand up but flopping over. I was home by myself so a friend came over to help carry him in the car.
  19. This sucks…went outside to play with the dog and he got hurt. At the emergency vet
  20. Monday could be fun, just have to iron out the timing.
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