weatherwiz

It's coming. Not sure why some are dismissing it but it is coming. Can use all the WPC products, charts, graphs showing how climo is declining, etc...who cares, all of that is irrelevant and doesn't change what the outcome is going to be. When the new pattern becomes established moving through early August, it isn't just going to end overnight. Going to have to be some significant changes to the Northern Hemisphere state...maybe some tropical activity jumpstarts changes but much of August going to be en fuego.

I have not seen many bees this year with the exception of bumble bees. I did have a baby yellow jacket in the house a few weeks back but I really have not encountered any.

I can't believe July is almost over. This month flew by. Dealing with the dogs second (and more severe) spinal stroke a few weeks back, combined with other things going on...feels like everything this month happened in one blink.

Great stuff, thank you!

I would imagine once we get into a more favorable state things can get active real quick. And I'm getting beyond my knowledge here so hence the vague sentence lol. I would imagine we're dead right now because of unfavorable MJO phase or is there just too much subsidence over the Basin?

More like mid-December

We going to have to have a monstrous peak and a season which persists in Dec at this rate

Excellent! That is just beyond responsible. I don't understand people. The stories you hear about every day of children or pets dying in hot cars is sickening. I have no clue how you can "forget" you have a child or a pet in the car or how you can think its alright to leave them in the car while you go off and do whatever it is your doing. I saw one story the other day that it was believed a father was distracted by his XBOX or Playstation...ARE YOU KIDDIND ME???

This is certainly true. When I used to walk everywhere and be outside more during winter it was easier to tolerate and handle.

I think age definitely factors into the thinking and mindset about the seasons, however, that can't be said for everyone. I've always hated the cold and the early darkness, however, it never really bothered me. But the last several years it really has started to do so, but its mostly related to changes in personal life I think. I've always been a huge hockey fan, and that really grew after my grandfather had passed in 2008. He was a massive Red Sox fan (got me into it) and we watched every game together. But hockey is a winter sport, so I watch all Bruins games and I had season tickets to the Hartford Wolf Pack for so many years so I was either watching hockey on TV or going to games. I also used to go out a few times a week. Essentially, I was constantly busy...always had something to do. But now that I ended up re-locating to Springfield (which I want back in CT sooooo badly) I don't get to do alot of these things anymore, so I'm not as busy...that's when you notice things more.

Winter is more tolerable with snow. I get why people hate snow (outside of weather weenies), it's a nuisance and can be disruptive but winter by itself, without snow, sucks. I get in the summer when it is oppressively hot and humid you can't do any activity outside very long, but at least you can find ways to enjoy yourself or at least just relax. What can you do outside in winter (ski/snowboard if you're into that) but its not like you can just post up in your lawn chair outside when its 30F.

WTF, that's ridiculous. I'd go off on that camp. I worked as a camp counselor for about 8 years and the camp was 95% outdoors. I always made sure there was at least one water cooler at every outside station and made sure they got re-filled. When we had the most oppressive days, we made sure to limit strenuous outside activity and be in the shade as much as possible.

Lots of confused people in here the past few pages. Don't even know where to begin

Yeah I don't see much indicating we'll be cloudy or predominately cloudy Saturday, outside of some high clouds streaming in. However, there may be an opportunity for some llvl clouds may scouting southern areas?

Beyond Tuesday next week looks pretty active with unseasonably strong mlvl flow and multiple shortwaves traversing it. It should be quite humid as well, probably oppressive dewpoints returning. No EMLs likely next week but definitely some severe weather potential mixed in, especially with any stronger shortwaves mixed in.

Missed out on everything to my north yesterday and then south. Got to Middletown, CT to get the dog like 5:45ish. There was some cool mammatus clouds overhead. When they were helping us get the dog into the car there was a bight flash of lighting and loud rumble of thunder...that was the extent of the storms for me. As we were driving south that is when the storms were moving across Mass. Then of course, the night stuff was southern CT.

about on schedule

May end up driving through stuff later this afternoon along the traveling of 91 journey. Our dog can finally come home today (still is unable to walk or have movement in his back legs) and its off to a long road of rehab and time. Hoping I can perhaps get home before everything and not have to be traveling on the highway during it.

I was waiting for the 2% TOR

Strong heating is going to be a key today given the very poor mid-level lapse rates and the warm mid-level temperatures. Low-level lapse rates aren't too bad (7-7.5 C/KM) with RAP even generating pockets of 8 C/KM. This isn't bad when looking for wind potential, however, 2-6km lapse rates need some work. Wind shear is more than sufficient (30-40 knots of effective/bulk shear) to get storms to organize. Getting dewpoints more in the 73-74F range would go along ways, however, not sure if we see much dew point pooling today. Basically this would be a difference between more localized severe and something more along the lines of a swath of wind damage reports.

GFS looks to hang the front up a bit...could result in another chance for showers and thunderstorms tomorrow along and south and east of 84 corridor.

That would be 8:00 PM local time. But when we switch clocks in November 0z will become 7:00 PM local time. 0z HRRR would typically start running like 7:52 PM

I saw BWI got to 104 yesterday

I never really liked Hammonasset. It's been some years since I've been but its beyond crowded. Not a place if you're looking for relaxation.

There's one in Miilford (Silver Sands or something) which isn't a terrible beach. It gets super crowded. The water can be ehhh but during the low tide cycle there is a small little "island" you can walk out too. Just have to be aware though because once high tide starts kicking back in, if you're not a strong swimmer...better start hauling.