weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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That was fun to watch transpire overnight. The dry air just never made it in here and exceptional lift just slowly moved over the state. Given as moist as it was and with that lift...boom!
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The radar has been fun to watch the past hour. The dry air is definitely influencing things...but it’s being fought of too
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How much about?
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It might not necessarily be a shortwave...might be associated with the second band of intense fronto models had. i think the front with the stuff over NW CT was to weaken a bit with another area of strong fronto organizing East
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Man that couldn’t have been more spot on.
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The NW part of the state has the be getting drilled. Wouldn’t be surprised if some towns there have like 3-4” already...maybe close to 5
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Might Be starting to see influences now. Noticed radar lightening up a bit in CT outside of the heavy band near the NY/CT border. I think Scott mentioned two maxes...one near W CT and another NE CT into MA...might work out very well
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Even now looking at radar. Been watching the western edge for signs of dry air. When it seems like it starts to get eaten away it quickly fills back in.
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Yeah...my friend posted video from Pinney. But I have another friend who lives in Chestnut Apartments near Midtown and she even said at least 2”
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Yeah it’s all good. Can’t get upset. In these situations where there are mixed signals you pick a stance and go with it. In this instance I opted to go for dry air winning out. It’s all good
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Hearing at least 2” in Danbury
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Up to a coating lol
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Yeah this is going to be a pretty epic bust by me. Don’t really see signs of dry air working in either
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Not a whole lot of W to E motion on the radar it appears.
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Woah...this is crazy. The HRRR like stalls a band of heavy snow over CT for like 3-4 hours.
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Expect that to be the theme through the morning
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Was just about to post that. It’s off to the races now
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Like to keep people on their toes
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that's pretty close to the transition period too, no?
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I've actually thought about that. But IDK...by doing various point-and-click soundings across the state during the overnight through morning it seems like dry air really starts to creep in perhaps as early as late evening...becomes quite apparent I think after 9z.
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THE GFS is cute...still chucking out precip over CT despite the fact the column is about as dry as Kevin's scalp in February
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I wonder if we'll really see the rain pick up this evening. The dynamics are no joke: PWATS over 1''...in December...nice
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Much of the region gets into the stronger forcing but it just seems that everything favors eastern areas being able to utilize it. Actually...18z NAM 3K and even the RPM are hinting at an extremely thin band of very heavy snow which may develop and scrape SE CT, RI, and SE MA...it's just very progressive though...if something like that can develop and hang around a bit someone could easily get 3-4'' out that way.
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Cod
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FWIW there really isn't a whole heck of alot of of precip reports on the back edge of the precip going through TN Valley. Also, PIT did an 18z sounding. This is behind the front. that dry air means business
