weatherwiz

Gotcha. lots to iron out though in the next 24-hours with some of the details. Certainly going to be strong winds...just a question of how much of the region gets into them.

Maybe some waterspouts off Cape Cod?

with the euro wind fix or the wind threat in general? Uncertain about the state as a whole but coast/eastern sections looks a bit more concerning.

Agreed...shoreline has the greatest likelihood for widespread power outages. Inland...a bit of a tougher call. 40-50 mph wind gusts are certainly on the common side around here in the fall/winter...but given the state of the trees plus all the rain coming it makes for a bit more in the way of uneasiness.

We'll most certainly have a stout inversion in place which will help limit winds but we should also see some CAA moving through the evening which should erode the inversion a bit but given how we're looking at mostly synoptically driven winds this may not matter much (outside of mixing down stronger winds)...but winds off the deck are pretty wild. I would think 40-50 mph gusts inland are a good be with gusts 55-70 along the coast.

they did? About time. There are still some uncertainties with several pieces, however, even with the uncertainties the confidence I think for a pretty impressive wind event and power outages may be on the high side...I guess just a matter of how much of the region but that's tied into the uncertainties with track/placement

Holy crap...HRRR gone wild for sure. Does have some support from the 3km NAM too. That's a pretty extensive area of synoptic wind. Certainly can't be discounted when you consider the potential for a sub 990 low with a ~1028 HP to the north

puking?

YES!!!!

Thanks!!!

some options to close tabs to the right, close other tabs, close current tab, and adding tabs. There is an option to mute. I looked for extension options in settings but I don't see extension options. It's so frustrating and annoying. Whoever thought that would be a good idea should be fired

Does anyone know how to stop google chrome tabs from automatically refreshing...stupidest thing ever

Steep mlvl lapse rates FTW! Decent amount of SBCAPE too out in eastern sections.

There is certainly enough directional shear going on to support supercell potential...in fact, perhaps even some right moving supercells. If there are indeed supercells and they become mature enough there probably is golf ball hail potential

I would focus more on MLCAPE over SBCAPE, however, given the presence of mlvl lapse rates approaching 7-7.5 C/KM atop of Td's in the mid-to-upper 60's and sfc temps ranging between upper 70's and lower 80's MLCAPE values 1500-2000 J/KG is not unreasonable. In fact, if mlvl lapse rates are more 7.5-8 C/KM those values would be quite likely.

Yeah hail is always a possibility anytime you're dealing with temperatures that cold around H7-H5 and when you have steep mlvl lapse rates. 6z NAM Bufkit at BWI was generating between 500-700 J/KG of CAPE in the -10C to -30C layer so hail is certainly possible. There are some limiting factors though such as storm mode...that could limit large hail potential but pea's/dime's/nickel's are certainly possible with the more robust updrafts.

Wow...NAM is quite intriguing tomorrow across the Baltimore/Washington corridor. Very steep mid-level lapse rates atop of an unseasonably warm/moist airmass would contribute to moderate levels of instability and steep low-level lapse rates verify this potential. Despite the lack of a stronger more consolidated piece of s/w energy you have a pretty decent amplifying trough with strong height falls. would think we see an upgrade to Slight with Enhanced risk potential if the NAM signal gains support. Would think an area of concentrated and widespread damage is very possible along with the risk for a few tornadoes...though could be mitigated by weaker llvl shear.

That was an idea, however, the number of bees making it inside has escalated quite a bit today. Probably close to a couple dozen which have gotten inside today.

Here is the correct pic

That is a very good point. I don't want those suckers getting inside and all angry. I'm going to take the appropriate measures to get rid of the nest ASAP.

This is great information! Thanks a ton

Yes, vinyl siding. I'm going to assess the vinyl siding closer this evening but there are some additional "weakness" I've found but I've at least found the main hole the bees are coming in/out of. I did explore some of the areas where wires enter the house but I didn't notice any activity from those. There seems to be some sort of weakness within the screen door allowing them to come in. Or there are small enough gaps along the edge of the door...but it's crazy how so many would find such small holes.

Thanks...good to know!! Will order something.

that’s where the nest looks to be…inside that hole in the siding I put up the glass but the bees seemed to be getting in from the top right and zero clue how.

One day last week I noticed there were several yellow jackets inside on some curtains. So I did some further exploring and found many dead ones on the inside of the window and on the floor behind a piece of furniture. I was stunned because I had just cleaned in that area not long ago. I did some looking around the window area (both inside and outside) and could not figure out how the bees came inside. So I got rid of all the bees. Well the past few days I noticed more bees getting inside. I did some additional exploring and by our front door there seems to be a nest and I noticed bees were coming in from the screen door...from the top right of it and zero clue how because there are no holes. This morning I found several in the kitchen. I sprayed last night in the whole where the bees come in and out of but what else can be done? What also shocks me is...for yellow jackets these things don't appear to be very aggressive. Even inside...they just hang around on an object or walk across the floor. Even when I swat at the ones by the door so they fly outside...they aren't aggressive.