weatherwiz

Yeah...at first I thought the track was a lol but then looking aloft I was like oh ****. If this type of configuration remains modeled like through tomorrow then concern has to be raised

wow...that H5 look on the euro actually looks nearly perfect for such a track...so I guess that gives that solution some type of support

This is something to watch. Seems like many systems that go into this area end up becoming rather slow movers.

yeah I agree it is close...I think the orientation is just a bit off and perhaps would like to see some better digging west of us. Certainly close but when it comes to us...close usually not enough lol. I do think we will see some heavy rain and gusty winds though

The upper level look would lead to me to believe more likely OTS than a hit here...but certainly could see some moisture and gusty winds (much needed rain too!)

I would think perhaps 3-4months? I think the vaccine is 2 shots (a month apart) and then I’m sure they monitor for another couple months to determine whether it was effective and if there are any side effects? (This is all just a guess though)

I can’t wait for the phase 3 results from moderna

They are in a bubble so as long as everyone abides by the rules all should be good

Only 207 out of 31,960 tests done between Friday - Sunday in CT came back positive (0.65%).

Was just talking about this with someone. There is just no ways schools can re-open in the fall. But I guess both sides of the argument are very valid...but I’m certainly not in the position to really have an opinion as I’m not a teacher, not going to school, and don’t have kids going to school.

It’s probably just a matter of time before we see a big spike again here in New England. This really sucks. Hopefully by the winter we will see a big breakthrough in treatments and a vaccine will begin to be distributed.

Nice a tornado warning in AZ EDIT IT'S ON THE GROUND!!!!!

2 days in a row with no covid-related deaths in CT!

can we just bring the thread back with heavy disclaimers so much great stuff to discuss...especially with clinical trial results and potential for vaccines.

Over the weekend there were 27,323 tests done in CT and only 162 came back positive (0.59%). We've got to be approaching 3-4 weeks now in CT where the percent rate has been around or below 1%. Hospitalizations down to 54.

I've heavily contemplated doing northern Plains rather than like southern Plains for chasing. Everyone loves May and early June in OK/KS, however, I think farther north offers just as much in terms of severe and without chaster convergence. Only issue I think is you can pretty much book a two week period in OK during late May well out and the odds of having at least one event are high. Waiting until like deeper in summer when they are active up north is a bit of a challenge...especially when factoring in taking time off of work. Some jobs you need to gives like months in advance.

I wonder how chasing is up that way.

the rapid RI is probably hindering the overall hail/tornado potential. Upscale growth will be very quick. Radar watching will be fun. Storms probably going from a TCU to 55K monsters in minutes lol

maybe LCL's are too high but I was shocked they didn't mention risk for a strong tornado very early on in the game...perhaps just a small window too b/c everything will become linear quickly but the ingredients are there that should a discrete cell take off it could go nuts. Thinking we see a 4'' hail report today

same. MLCAPE too getting to 4000-5000 J...that's ridiculous. Derecho composite already at a 10 too.

DERECHO!!!

I am so grateful CT continues to do so excellent.

Is this just to much to ask for

One thing I would really love to do is start studying more (reading research papers, finding datasets to do analyses, etc) about the role/significance on the lower stratosphere/upper troposphere and the overall significance/impact this plays on the progression of the pattern moving through the Northern Hemisphere winter. I strongly feel this interaction plays a significant role...moreso than ENSO. One example would be the QBO and it's structure and how it is behaving moving through the fall and winter. Like right now it appears that we are in an upward propagating easterly phase (I think) and if that were to continue into the winter that would certainly increase the prospects for a better Arctic. If we can correlate that to a weak La Nina (this is just a basic look...obviously would want to get into the placement of the coldest anomalies) that would certainly increase prospects for us this winter.

They should do a movie about fakenadoes in Tolland