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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. I like the shear, just have to destabilize sufficiently.
  2. I'm not a huge fan of temperature anomaly maps. They're useful but terrible for communication purposes.
  3. Well hoping we can maybe muster some good convection potential Tuesday. Timing should be more favorable but may have to deal with AM crap/clouds
  4. yeah we get that weak front moving through end of week with high pressure building in but looks like its a one day ordeal and we flip to very warm/humid for Saturday.
  5. Next Saturday should be solidly into the 80's (obviously except immediate coastal probably and the higher elevations) and Saturday night will be into the 60's for lows.
  6. This would probably help with the idea of "too many tools in the box". There are so many models and data to digest, who really has time to do all of that? If the energy and focus can be spent on a few models to improve assimilation and initialization that would go a substantial way in improving forecast accuracy and confidence.
  7. Was shocked to see that mentioned. Isn't that a "newer product anyways"? I forgot when HREF became operational but I feel like it was at least in the last 10 years?
  8. Interesting. Assuming this could be a big positive in more resources would be available for the RRFS instead of running all these various short-term mesos.
  9. mid 80's may be tough but we will be warming the llvls through the day with a northwesterly flow so probably have to tack on 2-3F to the 2m progs.
  10. Timing blows a bit tomorrow but western areas could see some storms during the early evening. Probably see marginal expanded east some with an upgrade to a slight risk in there
  11. Sure could be! I was thinking about you when I was looking at that earlier haha. I knew you would provide some in depth analysis on this. Good call Kevin yesterday
  12. Actually I wonder if Berkshire County could get some strong storms late Sat afternoon or early evening
  13. Tuesday could be a fun day...start of NHL free agency and maybe some strong storms!
  14. Hoping Friday evening is dry (should be). May do a fire and round 1 of the NHL draft outside. Will be a perfect evening for a fire though I’d prefer the 100/73.
  15. LIs of -12C in the Carolinas into Georgia!!!!
  16. hate seeing these depressing posts
  17. It looks like the euro wants to retreat the stationary front through as a warm front with cold front siding later. I wish the euro was right but don't really see any means for that occurring. Would like to see some sort of strengthening sfc low passing to our north and west
  18. They're going to recharge and come back with a vengeance and then there will be no escape.
  19. still some differences on how far southwest front pushes and where it stalls.
  20. Just saw EWR only got down to 85 last night...that's wild
  21. yeah I was noticing that. Looks kind of anafront-ish like?
  22. There are certain setups in which the 3km can get too happy with precipitation development
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