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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    Lee would largely miss those warmer waters (assuming anyways). Historically, to get a significant cane to make landfall up here you need it to be hauling as it would have less time to weaken between being off the Carolina coast and a landfall up here. A slower moving storm traversing these colder waters though will give the storm ample time to undergo internal structural changes and evolution from tropical to ET
  2. weatherwiz
    Yes, great post. It's important to understand this in great depth.
  3. weatherwiz
    You shouldn't have done it
  4. weatherwiz
    I think Kevin already did that when he made comparisons to '38
  5. weatherwiz
    This is exactly what I was getting at with that post I made a few weeks back about colder waters. A slow moving storm is going to weaken and transition pretty quickly.
  6. weatherwiz
    This can't be ignored, but let's see we got TS wind gusts across a large part of the region as a result of an expanded wind field. Given the very saturated grounds and fully leaved trees power outages would be a greater concern than usual for winds that we usually see several times in the late fall/winter.
  7. weatherwiz
    You'll probably see that happen before you see the Mets win
  8. weatherwiz
    There is also the possibility the next Near Earth Object actually hits the Earth
  9. weatherwiz
    Based on that upper-level evolution, I don't think I'd constitute this as a west trend.
  10. weatherwiz
    Alright GFS
  11. weatherwiz
    eh I just don't think it's enough. IMO you want to see several members well west. We're starting to get into the range where the models aren't going to be too far off from the synoptic evolution. I do think there is a chance portions of Maine could see some rain and gusty winds but that's pretty much it. The wave off Africa which the GFS slams us with down the road may have better potential given its starting off much farther south.
  12. weatherwiz
    This isn't a situation where you just want to see slight ticks west...you really want to see a significant jump east. And by significant I mean more than just an OP run or a few ens members. There is substantial work to get such a significant jump. The window certainly isn't closed, but its just about fully shut.
  13. weatherwiz
    wild rain currently
  14. weatherwiz
    I was just doing something similar with TT switching browsers between 12z/6z. I hate how the sizing changes though. I wish the domain would remain fixed it would be much easier to visualize. Anyways there certainly has been some slight ticks west, but the mean is still very far east.
  15. weatherwiz
    Let’s just make our own!
  16. weatherwiz
    maybe some flash flooders today?
  17. weatherwiz
    I just want to go to bed and suffocate under the blankets
  18. weatherwiz
    A nice light show but I wanted the core. It’s almost as if Arnold Schwarzenegger just picked up the storms and shifted them east. What a slap in the face. It was looking super promising. I think the stupid rain that developed out ahead of it had a say. Lightning good sure…but Fook
  19. weatherwiz
    Ughhhhhhhh screw this. I go east…and the core keeps shifting east. I wanted to get into the core. Stupid piece of crap pre ahead of storm rain. I’m so sick and tired of this shit. This is ridiculous
  20. weatherwiz
    Might get nailed here
  21. weatherwiz
    I don't think I'd make it...traffic getting from 291 to 91 in Springfield is usually pretty brutal around this time and traffic getting to the highway is usually a bit. Stuff popping around here though so I'll just plan on local
  22. weatherwiz
    Want to go to BDL but not sure I'll have enough time
  23. weatherwiz
    30000 J of MLCAPE with 7-7.5 2-6km lapse rates to go along with DCAPE 800-1000 J/KG big winds today
  24. weatherwiz
    wow...definite a distinct zapping sound.
  25. weatherwiz
    Going to guess we'll see an additional watch in a bit for northern areas with the northern watch expiring a few hours later.
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