weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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I’ll take it too… if the 75-80 are dews
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Unfortunately not.
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Wow not bad. Just wait until we get a massive derecho to blow across the whole region one day
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Just as long as things get active for my annual first two weeks of June storm chasing
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Not a record for ORH? What’s the record
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Izzy finally came home
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Small microburst around Hudson
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
weatherwiz replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Does anyone know where the SSTA data for each Nino region was moved to? There was a link which went back to 1950 and I think one that dated back even farther (definitely looking for this one). EDIT: got it...had an error in my link! -
Finally able to bring home the dog today but this is going to be a scorcher drive. I currently don't have A/C in my car and my gf car is in the shop. A little worried about this with the dog but we'll just have to drive with the front windows open and hope the drive on the highway will at least make it feel cooler in the car.
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Let's shoot for 45
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Hopefully one of many
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I have to agree with this. Perhaps there is some sort of relationship with how EL Nino's evolve during the summer and what we experience during the summer in terms of big heat or not, but strong(er) EL Nino events don't really become mature until we're in the dead of summer or even back half of summer. If anything, I would think the correlation would start showing as we moved into Fall
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NBM not backing down at BDL tomorrow...13z run still throwing up 95
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One underrated aspect that is going to suck about the RRFS replacing the various meso models is it runs MUCH slower
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yup...north today, south tomorrow. damn. NAM came back down to Earth too with the mlvl lapse rates...had a feeling it was a bit too aggressive with the steeper lapse rates. DCAPE not bad though...probably see some scattered wind damage reports tomorrow along that swath you mentioned
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Not too mention the BL flow becoming a bit more westerly...which may be related more to a faster FROPA. Looks like better convergence towards the south coast
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3km is a shutout tomorrow and the HRRR has development from eastern PA moving across NJ, southern CT, and southern RI lol. 3km probably ran using Breslow's algorithm
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3km liking southern VT/NH into northern ORH County today
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lmao guidance for BDL tomorrow MAV: 84 MET: 84 NBM: 95 (though showing a 3hr max of 88)
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Tonight may even end up a few degrees warmer
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Was sitting outside enjoying the night and got all bit up by mosquitos
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AWT
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The RRFS is decent too, just a bit later with timing
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I think we'll see widespread storms...should see a solid line evolve ahead of the front. Only question is whether damaging wind gust potential is rather isolated or more scattered
