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Posts posted by calculus1
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It's been a steady mix of wet snow and sleet for the past couple of hours. Temp down to 33.4 IMBY. This has gotten colder more quickly than anticipated.
I've got a nice slushy accumulation on my back deck. The driveway is also beginning to accumulate the sleet pellets. Over performing, for sure, here in Hickory!
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Big snowballs in Hickory for about 5 minutes. Now, heavy sleet.
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Huge cotton balls of snow just falling from the sky! Then heavy sleet. Then back to snow. Awesome winter weather! Mulch is already white.
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Awesome! The longer it can stay cold, the better.
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GSP Watches/Warnings/Advisories:
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It's also cold:
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The RGEM is so juicy...
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The 06Z RGEM goes bonkers for counties along NC/VA state line.
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Well, your numbers don't lie. It would be a big jump in viewership. My personal preference for local news in Charlotte is what I gave. I still stand by my statement of interesting weather. There's a lot more snow and ice to forecast out of Charlotte north and west than there is out of Raleigh (as many posters on this site will bemoan).NBC Charlotte is way down in a distant third place for news viewership in that market. Brad sort of has a niche/cult following right now but isn't well known. In the latest Nielsen viewership numbers for 6pm newscasts, WSOC had 109k viewers, WBTV 104k, and WCNC 47k. It's a step up to go from that to the runaway #1 broadcast in the Triangle (WRAL 111k, WTVD 84k, WNCN 25k for the same sweeps period).
Charlotte is the #23 media market DMA while Raleigh is #25. It's a lateral move in terms of media market tier but to a station with orders of magnitude more cachet.
It would be a big loss for our area if he left, but if WRAL would double his salary it might be difficult to refuse. I would have to imagine Panovich has had multiple offers from other stations over the past several years due to his savvy social media interaction, and yet he still resides in Charlotte. So, I hope that will still be the case for the foreseeable future.
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The rest of the WRAL weather bench are pretty standard fare in terms of xs and os. They show the end result/conclusions not the why behind the forecast logic. What a huge loss. Brad Panovich is too good to be at a third-place Charlotte news station - just sayin’.
Whoa-there! Why is Charlotte a bad gig? He gets to cover a variety of conditions from mountains to sandhills. It's a bigger media market than anything else in NC too. And, I definitely prefer his NBC affiliate over the ABC affiliate. CBS is about equal to NBC in Charlotte, IMO. Brad P doesn't need to go anywhere.
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28 minutes ago, jburns said:
Personal.
You say potato, ...
I was just quoting what the station said:
“We have a difficult announcement to share with you tonight, involving a longtime member of our WRAL family. We need to let you know that chief meteorologist Greg Fishel is no longer with the company due to a personnel matter. Greg has asked that we share a written statement with you and you can find that in its entirety on wral.com.”
So, who knows what the true story is and even what the difference really is between personnel and personal matter?
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"Personnel issues"
Hmmmm....
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Here's a nice little snippet from the GSP afternoon AFD. This is intended only for those who still hold out hope of seeing a flake or two tomorrow. It may boost your spirits.
QuoteEast of the mountains, still expect the best overlap of lingering moisture and falling snow levels to support some snow accumulations out along the Interstate 40 corridor before precip ends. There is not enough confidence for an advisory in this area, but stay tuned as this could change quickly. Cannot rule out a brief window of snow showers even from GSP to Charlotte just before the precipitation ends, but little to no accums are expected along the I-85 area.
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12Z GFS through hour 48:
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I'm pretty sure that was a joke...No, freezing rain is when the rain freezes on contact.
This will be a freeze of whatever puddles are still around.
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GSP discussion:
QuoteAs of 330 PM EST Sunday: A Winter Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the NC mountains along with Rabun County, GA, and will go into effect beginning late Monday night. With broad upper longwave trough across much of the CONUS, latest guidance continues to place an approaching Arctic cold front draped through the TN Valley at the beginning of the forecast period on Monday night, with it propagating eastward through the FA early Tuesday morning. With SW flow/available moisture in place ahead of this system, precipitation is expected to begin as early as late Monday night across the extreme western portions of the FA, expand eastward across the FA on Tuesday, and taper off by Tuesday evening, with the exception of lingering moisture along the TN border. However, precipitation associated with this system will not fall as all rain as fcst soundings continue to suggest a rain/snow scenario as the Arctic cold air infiltrates into the region. Low temperatures overnight Monday into early Tuesday morning will range in the mid 30s to around 40 degrees across the Upstate and NW Piedmont, into the lower 30s across the NC mountains, and slightly colder at the higher elevations. As precipitation expands eastward through daybreak on Tuesday, do anticipate a transition to all snow across portions of the mountains, especially the higher elevations, as a rain/snow mix expands along the I-40 corridor early, and precipitation elsewhere across the Upstate remains all rain. With temperatures rising above freezing on Tuesday before the colder air infiltrates behind the cold front east of the escarpment, any rain/snow mix outside of the mountains will return to all rain by late Tuesday morning. High temperatures on Tuesday will climb into the mid to upper 40s to low 50s across the Upstate and NW Piedmont, into the 30s across the mountains. Into Tuesday evening, as precipitation tapers off from west to east (with the exception of areas along the TN border on the backside of the exiting system), with colder air infiltrating in, could not entirely rule out rain/snow mix or light snow showers across portions of the Upstate and NW Piedmont into Tuesday night. However, given lower QPF due to the infiltration of drier air at the lower levels as seen from fcst soundings, do not anticipate any accumulations outside of the mountains attm. As for the mountains/higher terrain, snowfall amounts could range from a dusting to potentially 2 inches in the valleys and across the lower ridges, with higher amounts nearing 4 to 6 inches along the ridgetops of the Smokies and the Balsams. The Black Mountains and other mountain ranges in northwest NC could potentially see 3 to 5 inches. Thus, a Winter Storm Watch has been issued with this forecast package. With the Arctic air infiltrating in, a much colder night is in store across the area overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning, with low temperatures below freezing cross the entire FA - mid to upper teens to lower 20s across the Upstate and NW Piedmont, into the single digits to teens across the mountains. Thus, do anticipate the potential for slippery road conditions due to black ice anywhere roadways and elevated surfaces were still wet from recent rainfall/snowfall Tuesday night.
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So, IMBY it's currently 34.2/13 @ 1036.8 mb = 27.8 WB. Now, that will get you some ice accretion with light ZR! Freeze on contact and no runoff.
The 00Z 3K NAM was putting out quite the ZR-fest in my neck of the woods...
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Still under WWA for less than 0.1 inch of ice.
Current conditions at my house: 37.6/9 @ 1036.9 mb = 29.3 WB.
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3K NAM high resolution forecast. Looks like 0.15 at the most. I'm not sure that qualifies for Winter Storm Watches, but the accretion should happen rather easily tonight due to the conditions you mentioned, Falls.
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Both, 12Z RGEM and 3KNAM both show freezing rain breaking out around midnight and lasting through 16Z in the immediate lee of the Apps.
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The CMC has light precipitation for the January 27-28, but then follows it with a great storm on January 30.
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Wow. The 12Z RGEM shows 10 hours of freezing precipitation (freezing rain to sleet back to freezing rain) for Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, and it's still going at the end of its run:
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12.4 was the low IMBY this morning (Hickory, NC). Chilly!
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11:41 it goes total. 12:15ish is best red.
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February 2019 Observations
in Southeastern States
Posted
Never got below freezing last night. 33.0 F was the coldest BY temperature that I recorded.