calculus1

1 hour ago, JoshM said:

FWIW, 0z NAM bringing in precip earlier.

Yeah, here are the ZR totals from Pivotal Weather:

850s are only cold enough for snow for the initial onset of precipitation in NC.  However, the lower-level cold air hangs on for a long time.  Lots of sleet and freezing rain on this setup.

Well, what have we here?

Usual caveats and all, but it's fun to look at.

Bit of an over-performer today in the rainmaker department.  Yesterday, my P&C forecast was for less than a tenth of an inch.  This morning, the P&C said between a tenth and a quarter of an inch.  As of 9:20 AM, I sit at 0.53 inch in the rain gauge.  Maybe a sign of things to come for winter?  Regular over-performers?  One can hope...

Exactly 1.50 inches from today's rain. Nice!

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Low of 18 IMBY this morning!  Wow!

Great work, Grit. I'm glad you decided to go ahead and post another outlook. Get back up and try again!

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

ASU with 2 wins (count 'em! - UNC & USC) over Power 5 conference schools! What might have been had they not screwed up against GSU last week? Anyway, Go App!

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Ray's Weather Fearless Winter Forecast:

asheweather.com/public/FearlessForecast.pdf

 

14 hours ago, calculus1 said:

Finished up with 3.95 inches of rainfall storm total.  Very nice!  Temp is dropping quickly.  In the 40s here in Hickory now.

It was 32.4 F when I left the house this morning. It might have dropped to hit freezing following that, but I won't know until I get home later to check.  Chilly!

Finished up with 3.95 inches of rainfall storm total.  Very nice!  Temp is dropping quickly.  In the 40s here in Hickory now.

1.75 inches of rainfall so far today IMBY.  This is most welcome.  And, it looks like further heavy showers are approaching my doorstep.

Ended up with 1.81 inches prior to midnight. I have since recorded another 0.95 inch since then. This is a long duration soaking rainfall. Much needed after recent dry weather.

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

1.75 inches of rainfall so far today IMBY.  This is most welcome.  And, it looks like further heavy showers are approaching my doorstep.

0.42 inch of rainfall today IMBY in Hickory. Lovin' it.

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Euro at day 5/6 looks better today but we need a couple more ticks NW to get the mountains/foothills a little more.Let's hope this chance works out this time.
 

Perfect! We're already anticipating the NW shift.

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Picked up 0.22 inch of rainfall yesterday evening from a storm on a due south heading. That is the only measurable rainfall for the entire month of September IMBY. It is so dry...

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

50.7 F for the low IMBY this morning.  Refreshing!

Hurricane watches out for Nova Scotia and TS watches out for PEI and Newfoundland.  Wow!

As of the 11 PM Advisory, Dorian is projected to still have TS-force winds off the shores of Greenland on Monday.  Crazy.  And that's after swiping Nova Scotia as a hurricane on Saturday.

1 hour ago, Solak said:

The night before the storm, and it's noticeably more humid.

Peaked out at 88/77= 100 this afternoon around here.

Agreed.  So, humid here in Hickory this evening, but it wasn't earlier in the day.

8 AM Cone:

Westward movement at only 1 MPH at 8:00 AM. Those poor people on Grand Bahama. Winds still at Cat 5 strength, but down a bit from the max.

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

A little closer to the coast at 9/1/2019 5:00 PM NHC Advisory:

9/1/2019 2:00 PM Intermediate Advisory for posterity's sake.  185 MPH!

This storm is incredible. Just. Wow. The statistics are hard to believe.

Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk