wokeupthisam

Legit CAA winds here, blowing snow & cold. Deep deep winter

Had about 3" in that last pulse of heavy snow after I cleaned up last night. Another cleanout today, including pushing back the banks which are now super-sized. Gray forecast was a good one after all, ended up with 8.5" total in three separate phases: 3" overnight saturday; 2.5" from light snow and occasional heavier sleet showers during the day Sunday; and 3" from the "backlash" band between 9-midnite (thanks Schwoegler...) 20" OTG. Too bad the coastal is a whiff later this week, would have been fun to get a foot+ to top off the deep winter vibes...

LOL no sooner finished cleanup, put tractor in the barn, and it started snowing again. 3/4" new and heaviest snow of the day right now

What a weird evolution in this one so far. Light snows overnight with temp at 19F, then a heavier band after sunrise, morphed to big aggregates temp up to 22F, then a shutoff, a couple rounds of heavy sleet but only a few minutes worth, most of the day has been windblown pixie dust and lower vis yielding another inch down, now back down to 19F.

With 3" down and accums about done, looks like the Gray fcst of 6-9" busts here

20.1° very light snow/sleet mix. 3" new. Went to quarter-sized flakes for 10 mins right before abrupt shutoff, vis rose from 1/4m to 2+m instantly as precip went to very light. Now dropping again as some fatties mix back in. Crazy how fast it's changing, must be some interesting dynamics AGL

23.1F with tiny snow grains, 1.3" down

All it takes is a cursory review of the 'pattern recognition' / 'emsemble mean' / 'why this time it's different' and resulting realities yielding melts, to know that the quoted statement is more true than not. Lol

More like FUs methinks ..

18.5° and light snow now. 9" new, 16.5" on the pack stake in the field but super high fluff factor. Currier and Ives

4th time I've experienced a quake in NH, this was a strong rumbling & rattling

0° / -4.5° and still a 5mph breeze Man Cold

5.5", 11.1/7.2F breezy bluebird skies

Took em down AWT

Yup beautiful morning, cloudless bluebird sky, no wind, 39.4° Getting final storm prep done for this WSW - just checked the electric leaf blower & it's good to go...

... March?

Hints of the low having trouble consolidating in the compressed flow?

Yup was looking at 18Z, 00Z def better.

NAM isn't biting run after run, if 0Z suite ticks weaker/flatter still, hmmm may be on to something...

35.4F -SN/IP mix

Yup, following along with the Gee-whiffs-us

Lucky it's a GFS Op beyond 3 days... I won't be losing any sleep over it

It's earned the title Dr. No - This rule is correct when the Euro says no. When it says yes to the big dogs, it can and does lose em. Just to add more pain to the hobby I guess...

Frustration is real and deserved. It's Jan 8th though, and we've seen that the H5 ENS maps are giving head fakes out 10+ days, so I'll wait to see how the next two weeks evolve before putting a fork in January.