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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. That couple of bins looks like bad data to me the way it pops in real quick on one volume scan and then is gone, but there has been broad/weak rotation in that cell (and now the one just east). I am intrigued by how the reports came in as the cell clearly became the tallest thing around (even though it's only 10,000 ft or so). Updraft surges like that can be enough. I actually like the velocity more around 11:15-11:25.
  2. Kevin can appreciate, we fogged up our windows on the outside because we had it so cool inside.
  3. Fog is definitely the highest impact up here so far.
  4. With 300 heights closed south of the storm, I think it was going to be tough for it to slide too far east.
  5. Maybe Henri has tilted over in the other direction now. Wouldn't be that shocking honestly.
  6. I mean the strongest jet was on the northern side of the upper low, which would've put NJ in the right entrance region. I would have to dig deeper, but you could see the conceptual model kind of flipped on its head given the anomalous easterly flow.
  7. Models showed that really well actually. Well defined circulation at 925, but ragged near surface. Suck zone?
  8. We know how well he downslopes on northeast winds.
  9. HREF mean of over 3" in 24 hours is one of the higher totals I've ever seen. Based on the guidance coming in, somebody is going to see some flooding.
  10. And it says we get to model watch all over again around the 29th.
  11. Why not rip and read the HMON and send it over ITH.
  12. I feel like this is a really important point too. So many people get wrapped up in the 1 putts, but on average the 50/50 make/miss distance for an amateur is 8 ft. Outside of that and you can't expect to make every one. So you're just trying to put a good roll on it and give it a chance but not making a dumb mistake like leaving it 6 ft short or long. It's counterintuitive but once I stopped trying to make everything I started making more putts.
  13. Gimme whatever the 3km NAM is on. If it remains a decent spinner threat tomorrow in PA I'm definitely interested to see what it does in New England.
  14. At my best I had an index of 9.7, which was good for a course handicap of 9. I would guess my index is probably north of 15 now though.
  15. I think it's the commitment level that makes the difference there. Once I start the routine I'm committed and have better outcomes. My father will change his putting grip as soon as he misses a 5 footer. He'll start the round standard, then switch to left hand low, then claw, etc. It drives me nuts.
  16. This is my favorite type of tip: the easy fix. Every swing is different, and trying to get someone to get more upright or come from the inside just may not always work. But stance, grip, ball position - those are easy to change and pretty much universally beneficial. My biggest light bulb moment was to come up with a routine on the greens. I copied Tiger (because why not?). He had a pretty simple like 15 second routine once he read the putt. Stand next to the ball and take two practice strokes while looking at the hole, address the ball, one more look at the hole, then go. After I started doing that my putting got much better.
  17. I would assume so too. I saw it mentioned that its spread is related to it being imported as a cover crop, so maybe some rogue seeds were mixed in there.
  18. It's an annual, so cold and snowy should take care of it.
  19. FWIW that app keeps giving me Japanese clover (it's in the bean family!) Would seem to be on the northern end of its range, but who knows. Not sure you want to let it flower, but that could probably help ID.
  20. Maybe if you're measuring over the poo pits in Winthrop?
  21. Looks like Nash was going back to his time in the Pacific. It means hiking.
  22. I would like to see some better forcing for that. Really just CAPE eaters for the moment, and upper support if anything retrogrades west tonight as the trof axis swings east.
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