Jump to content

OceanStWx

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    20,139

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. OceanStWx
    The trend towards more synoptically driven really ate the upslope potential. It was partially why I held off from warnings yesterday.
  2. OceanStWx
    I still hear plenty of coworkers talk about trends when they're just comparing the last two runs.
  3. OceanStWx
    Hints of a little WCB strengthening now, with the cloud tops cooling over SNE.
  4. OceanStWx
    Which one is that?
  5. OceanStWx
    Melting layer suggesting we may even flip for a bit in this heavier burst of precip.
  6. OceanStWx
    If we were generous and compare Foxboro to ORH, the average is 2 to 3 events a season with 6+ inches.
  7. OceanStWx
    Monday too. I feel like the 3km makes a little more sense if you are purely taking the clown maps. I'm not sure I'm buying 3-4 at PWM just yet. Somebody is going to get skunked between the light stuff/upslope and the coastal taking over. Probably in the LCI/IZG to AUG corridor.
  8. OceanStWx
    Like I have 3 at BML and 11 at MWN. They're in the same zone.
  9. OceanStWx
    Our whole forecast area is 6" in 12 or 9" in 24 as powderfreak said, but the P&C is also going to be a much smaller area than the entire zone. We're typically looking for 50% of the zone to hit the mark before we pull the trigger. Our zones are set up poorly for upslope snow, unlike BTV.
  10. OceanStWx
    Happy hour for all!
  11. OceanStWx
    Congrats HUL
  12. OceanStWx
    We had a good one in 2014, and also 2011 (which ended up being the last big one for the season )
  13. OceanStWx
    We have 0.1" between 7 pm and 1 am Friday evening at Portland and that's it for snow, but it could be 1"/hr and mashed potatoes on the roads rather than your plate of leftovers.
  14. OceanStWx
    Around Portland the NAM is a cold, light rain with the dry slot still flirting with the area. But as the mid levels start to really take off watch what happens. The column becomes moist again up through 500 mb, we cool, we lift, and we steepen the lapse rates right in the snow growth zone. That's nearly dry absolutely unstable, let alone moist absolutely unstable.
  15. OceanStWx
    Looking through some of those forecast soundings around here and...
  16. OceanStWx
    With satellite sampling there's only so much info we get gather. It's possible the abundant cirrus over that part of the Pac isn't allowing the satellite to sample the correct depth of the wave, but these newer satellites are also better at filtering out some of the noise.
  17. OceanStWx
    Maybe as early as 12z Friday. Kind of have to hope it catches a raob site, because BC is a bit of a black hole between Port Hardy and Fort Nelson. Ideally Yakutat and Whitehorse will catch a piece of it tomorrow morning.
  18. OceanStWx
    We're still talking a feature that is over no-man's land in the NE Pac. We're pretty much relying on just satellite sampling to get a handle on it.
  19. OceanStWx
    Watch up north for upslope, watch down south for late coastal, watch everywhere for Monday!
  20. OceanStWx
    Today I'm thankful for the 06z HRRR.
  21. OceanStWx
    Ensembles concur. Lots of sensitivity to that particular shortwave. It's almost traceable back to initialization today south of the Aleutians.
  22. OceanStWx
    I feel like the last few years have given us several good events to learn from.
  23. OceanStWx
    I think now with the SVR with tornado possible tag available we have an ideal avenue for those tricky scenarios where you aren't quite confident enough to pull the trigger on a TOR. Especially when you could argue some of these tornadoes are probably not much different than a SVR anyway. But you have to be ready to use them.
  24. OceanStWx
    Ooo, good question. I'm thinking the CT were prime "microburst" candidates because they were away from the main show on Long Island. There would've been a handful on the island that had enough damage to warrant a closer look. But I think half or less is definitely on the table without dual-pol.
  25. OceanStWx
    Now we're getting to the right number based off TDSs.
×
×
  • Create New...