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OceanStWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OceanStWx

  1. I feel like a ton of ice research has come out since then proving that stronger winds are in fact a net benefit to ice accretion. I think sheltered from winds, but there is also some subtle cooling on the east side as air ascends over the terrain and even a wet bulb temp change of 0.5 degrees can matter a lot.
  2. FRAM documentation sort of covers that too, with warm rain drops being less efficient but not captured by the algorithm. One of those situations where a stronger wind (like 2008) actually helps you by transporting the latent heat away from the drops as they freeze.
  3. It's a pretty good explainer, and most likely what you are seeing from any NWS office forecast. It does a pretty good job, mostly missing on the low side with light precip and strong winds or high side with wet bulb temps near freezing.
  4. Depends primarily on rate, wind, and temp. Each ice ratio curve is a little different. Heavier QPF = less ice (runs off too fast), stronger wind = more ice (actually builds up faster), temps near freezing = less ice (obviously). For low wind, standard upper 20s temps and typical precip rate you can assume around 80% of QPF turns into flat ice (take 40% of that for radial).
  5. Your dewpoint should stay at or below freezing, so damage is minimized.
  6. Flew to Puerto Rico on Christmas Day a few years back, and did my semester in Hawaii starting just after New Year's Day. Palm tress and Christmas lights go great together. Heavy, heavy rum drinks.
  7. Looks like mid May to hit 48 again. But it should be around 44 on average right now.
  8. Looks like BOX only has two blizzard warnings in December since 2005 (2009 and 2010). And none since 2018.
  9. Temp drifting? Those are totally separate sensors obviously. Thermometer measuring temp and the ice sensor measuring the frequency change on a plate to estimate ice accumulation.
  10. Looks like ORH measured 0.46" flat. That works out to somewhere between 0.15 and 0.20" radial. Those ice sensors throw out some looking numbers, but they do a pretty good job.
  11. I didn't measure when I got home at 8, but I only had 2.7" just before midnight so you already had the 2 inch lead on me. Seems like it was that coastal front enhancement.
  12. For one we can get the midnight to midnight totals easier that way, and two you do get the extra hour sleep
  13. The gradient on CoCoRaHS looks to be SW to NE, higher totals to the SW of Casco Bay dropping off towards Brunswick. What did you have around midnight, because that's when it looked like it was really going to town on radar.
  14. I think the more ragged nature of the system made for some weird distribution of amounts. I measured both what fell in my gauge and took a core sample and got 0.36" and 0.38". The ASOS measured 0.58" and @tunafish had 0.73" on the other side of the Jetport. That's like 7 or 8 miles as the crow flies. Then heading north QPE is back up to around 0.5" by the time you reach GYX.
  15. 4.9" on 0.38" liquid. Jetport out to an early lead over me despite my elevation advantage.
  16. 2.7” off 0.18” liquid. I may have to do a core sample, those 4” gauges can be a little light.
  17. Happening just on the cold side of the coastal front. Good news is the front seems to be holding if not drifting farther offshore.
  18. I would say it’s close, someone either in the southern Greens or around Sunapee might jack. Like freak said, someone who does well in blocked southeast flow that helped during the day today before the goodies tonight.
  19. Yeah, I think my snow map would’ve been a little more conservative than ours yesterday afternoon but I was overruled 2 to 1.
  20. Drive home featured lots of needles with the odd solo dendrite. Makes sense when you consider that we didn’t hit -10 until 578 mb on the balloon.
  21. I would imagine it stalls/slows as the heavier lift develops but I'm still assuming MHT succumbs around 8:30.
  22. The thing to remember about the WSW text too is that its an average across all zones included in that warning segment. So in this case everywhere from Pittsburg to Nashua. So it's a broad range.
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