WNC_Fort

lol. Love seeing the Asheville snow hole show up on the maps now. Feels like a classic storm now. Foothills/Leeside are showing lower totals in general. Something to watch for our foothill folks

This is exactly why @wncsnowand I are never optimistic. Three years in a row where every event finds a new way to fail here.

Deflating model runs overnight and this morning. Sucks to see the LP in a perfect location but minimal precip…

32.9/29. Wet-bulb of 31.1

Sun is out in Old Fort too. Temps jumped up 4 degrees

Right on queue. As soon as I start to believe… models worsen.

If it amped at the right time, the foothills and mountains could end up getting a big dog. Weaker solution helps our neighbors south and east though…

I am stuck right at 29.9 according to my Tempest station and the clouds have locked in….

I’m oddly optimistic for the first time in a while. See what happens when you see flakes fly for a couple hours?

There’s nothing I love more than a surprise snow and you guys know this was definitely a surprise down here.

It is absolutely pouring snow in Old Fort. Most I’ve seen here since 2022

LOL. An Apps cutter on the Euro. I’m so over this winter

lol. I swear if this run is too warm. We went from record cold for the 1/6 storm to warm/wet. Might as well do the same for this one

Where’s my daily dose of @Met1985optimism?

It really is starting to feel like if you live below 3000 ft, south of VA, and east of the Apps something has changed with the climate to where snow and ice are too difficult to get the combination of ingredients together. We should have paid more attention to the ice storm drought. Was probably our first sign of problems.

I was just coming to ask where the cold air has gone? We went from historic/pipe bursting, to long-sustained cold to… marginal at best?

Welp. Euro sucked. WNC foothills snow drought ending looks less and less likely.

I think I need to take a weather break. Too disheartening to watch models. Hope someone here can help us reverse trends and pull one in. I’ll be back to this forum someday but, it’s just not something that brings me joy right now.

What you’re seeing on the models is exactly why ive remained skeptical/nervous for this period. I think it’s guaranteed that highest elevations score but us foothill folks could be looking at a scenario where if we miss on the 6th, the other storms skirt us to the south and we end up with the coastal plain getting snow and us left blanked.

Much improved 18z run. Let’s keep the positive momentum during 0z.

Yea, the last few years, we’ve had multiple storms show initially as favorable for the Carolina’s just to hit Texas, Arkansas, Tennessee, etc. i personally can’t have hope on any storm until we’re within 48 hours. The last 3 years have been that miserable. Also, some aren’t understanding the point we’ve been making about temps moderating. YES, it will still be cold. But not record breaking like the models were showing just 2 days ago. Sure, let’s be hopeful AND realistic. And it’s easier for some to be hopeful who have gotten at least a trace the last few years compared to us who haven’t seen it without traveling to it.

Yep. That’s the problem. Ensemble means are decreasing and February is guaranteed to be awful for snow chances. So we have this 2 week window upcoming to score or winter is over again.

Folks on the other forum are already dooming. It’s what happens when everyone’s snow starved. But, I also just haven’t been convinced by the upcoming pattern.

Merry Christmas to my snow optimistic and pessimistic friends alike! Glad to share the passion of weather and this forum with you all.