WNC_Fort

Took a break from here and doesn't look like I missed much other than a day of hope that was quickly washed away. Winter is over folks. Other than the late frost and freezes we will see in March/April. We blew it this year.

Other than next weekend, there's really nothing positive in the models or indicies right now. I think @wncsnowis right, we likely punt until at least Valentine's day. Heck, we're talking 60s next week!

I feel like we're the only folks in the southeast with a legit reason to complain this winter. Foothills of WNC and Upstate of SC. It sucks. The mountain group gets pounded every week and can't relate to us even though we are 30 mins apart from a distance perspective. It's becoming painful to even come on here, tbh. Literal worst case scenario is coming true for us (and it's the one I posted about several times). Mountains get pounded by NWFS multiple times and then a big coastal event hits leaving a large gap from Asheville to Hickory....

I stood outside since your report @wncsnowand never saw a flake here in Old Fort. Must have just missed it. Ceiling heights are much higher here now.

Just close enough to make me feel even more miserable than the last "storm"

Off and on flurries tonight but not the type of event to accumulate here. But, it's about all I can get these days.

Wish yall luck up there! Wish the rest of the WNC crew could get into the action at some point.

Only saving grace for me is that Catawba Falls has reopened. I look forward to going later in the week to see them frozen over. Otherwise, I'm glad we've had a chilly winter but just sucks not to have any snow to show for it.

Not to continue being a pessimistic weenie but man, we've had our coldest Dec-Jan in recent memory and it just feels like we have so little to show for it.

LOL. You really can't draw up more of the screw zone than McDowell/Burke/foothill areas of WNC this year.

Gonna be a light event on the CMC this run for WNC. But, still should be a hit for those east.

When's the next Canadian run?

This is gonna trend just far enough north to really make it sting for us in the foothills/WNC.

Didn't expect to see everyone jumping ship this quickly but it does align with what I thought a couple days ago. This was a true arctic airmass and that doesn't work out for us. Will be painful to see the coast get more snow than I've seen in years but, that's the way it works here lately.

Euro with another coastal special. Still time for the upstate/WNC to get back in the game but chances are dwindling.

No kidding! I remember it was either Jan 2017 or 2018 when the New froze over and I had a great time walking across with some other friends from App. Used to happen a lot more back in the 60s too.

Man. Models love to show a WNC/Foothills low spot this winter haha

I'm ready to focus my attention on Sat/Sun. Next week is off the table for WNC. Too much going wrong out west.

Tick-Tock. Suppression incoming!

This sort of map is a classic @WNC_Fortand @wncsnownightmare (but one I think is more likely to happen)

Yea, I think I'm concerned by the system itself. Still a bit burned by that last system.

Still leaning towards cold/dry for us

I do feel like the MLK day storm does have legs but think it might be one of those ENC specials where we are left cold/dry. Still early but just my hunch.

I think it depends on where you are located. Each model had flaws. I think for AVL/East towards Raleigh, the NAM scored in terms of calling for the transition to sleet and the warm nose/generally lower totals. The HRRR was trash in terms of amounts, except did fairly well for Atlanta. I just don't see how anyone considers this event anything but a bust unless you're in Atlanta or west. Upstate of SC did not get anywhere near the amount forecast. The foothills fared “ok” but generally lower than forecast. SW mountains were hit or miss. Charlotte was way under. Raleigh didn't get what the models were showing 24 hours before the event. Generally, an underperformer. Look at how much Justus, Boyer, and Panovich were calling for just to see why many are calling it a bust.

Putting this in here as well. The Asheville snow hole showed up well on the models and even did worse than was forecast. Upstate of SC was really screwed. But, in general a bust just because amounts were generally lower than the low end of the forecast for the area as a whole.