Ralph Wiggum

Man, I want a Mid Atl-PHL forum combo special so badly so we can end this season with some promise for next year at least. We aren't far off from it happening tbh.

Well, I will take little if any shift...but I'm also 50 miles north of you so there's that. But that is a gorgeous inverted trof/norlun signature and ULL pass for someone. Snow maps are bogus.

Aaannnndd that ULL doesn't capture the slp? Odd map.

Did you screenshot this on your 2009 Nokia flip?

Wth is onion snow? Will it make us cry?

12z euro gets accumulating snow into SE PA Tuesday fwiw.

Goes to show how quickly modeling changes. Went from a MECS 2.5 days ago, to a SD Blizzard cutting well into MN, and now a Miller B too far east.

Bring on the mid March threat...lfg!!

Damn.....you guys are brutal. I would take snow in the middle of July if I could

If those temps you noted were saturated in our CAD zones I would agree. But just having them up in Canada and not locked in down here won't negate the return flow effects.

BTW just want to note as most are already aware, lower elevations, fall line to coastal plain still need a near perfect scenario this time of the year no matter how you slice it. So I'm not all-in on any single huge storm for i95 etc attm. This pattern, especially the onset beginning around the 10th, still significantly favors far NW elevated areas. Chances for lowlands somewhat increase mid month but climo obviously still favors NW elevations. Keep expectations in check for now, but things seem to be lining up for chances anyway.

Some wild solutions at 12z for sure.

2 days of a N flow prior get negated once the flow reverses fwiw. We aren't talking 3rd week of January molasses arctic hp stuck at the surface.

GFS for Tuesday with the deathband. Continues coming South past 6 runs. Actually gets flakes into extreme PA now:

Ironically alot of that in PA is from this Tuesday's system...which as a side note everyone in the PA sub has pretty much glazed over. Could potentially be the best hit of the run...doubt it as the pattern is loaded going forward, but it could be.

GFS has 3 threats over the next 10 days. None are flush hits but the trends to the good are happening. Ops finally recognizing the pattern. Ides of March system still popping up...op has it as a big Interior hit this run. Now or never before we move into full spring mode.

Ides of March or bust

Funny how the spring obs thread pages are progressing along faster than our winter obs thread did at any point this entire winter. There is a theme that is becoming evident and it isn't severe weather...yet anyway. Tbh, it is sorta refreshing to finally have the good looks up top following the sswe with the mjo entering a very amplified phase 8->1....trends going in our favor at this lead time rather than down the toilet for once.

GFS caved and has light snow entering the region by Saturday AM in lieu of a redeveloping Miller b off the Mid Atl coast.

CMC has trended to moving the quasi "SER" feature farther West each run. Trying to slide it near the PNA region Eta: well, it is moving that way then the vort squashes any thoughts of that

Nobody discussing the CMC?

RGEM also has the deathband in SE PA on Tuesday. White rain.

You know I'm an outta towner with ties to a different city, but I'm a fan of Lamar. Would like to see him stay put and not get shifted around. Also don't want him in the NFC East. He will be fine.

Good old fv3 starts us off with some banding snow on Tuesday: Eta: appears to be in the farther S camp along with the Canadian. Other mesos a smidge N.

Hold up....so I haven't really been following. Also apologies if this was already mentioned here. Lamar going to the Commanders? What kind of shit is this? The ultimate qb-killer organization. Say it ain't so. The guy has life left in him still. May his career RIP if true.