Ralph Wiggum

Regarding this medium range potential centered around 11/28...it could actually work for many of us. But it does have alot going against it at this time, so I'm not sure I would get too vested in anything just yet. Pros: decent ridging in the NAO domain, cold air available, confluence appearing with cold HP pressing East along the Canadian Border, decent shortwave coming out of the midwest. Cons: NAO ridging breaking down quickly, Euro only model/ens really hinting at a 50/50 low, Atlantic is toasty. Mentioned a few days ago, I'm not sure we want anything amped up right now until we get farther along into December. Weaker wave sliding under us would be ideal imo. But like I said also, this could work out. Has some decent things going for it. We'll see how it plays out. Good to even be talking flakes at this time tbh. Euro with a 50/50 and wave under us:

Put up the outdoor Christmas decor today....lots of lights, inflatables, garland, etc. Now just need some flakeage Friday to really finish the mood. The Yankee Candle sugared apple is burning...it's go time.

Remember when Eagles fans wanted to tank the season and fire Siriani after week 4?

I dunno. Seems last 10 years have been a total crapshoot. Seasonal analogs haven't been very useful tbh. If I were to guess, we get chances early but deal with the usual when Atlantic Ocean is roasting...weak waves sliding South = cold enough but dryish, anything even slightly amped torches BL type stuff. I want to say we're due but the WDI is pretty irrelevant. Peak solar activity and Nina would traditionally spell a trainwreck but like I said, past analogs haven't been very helpful.

And here I thought I was the only one all-in on this one. We are a bunch of nutcases.

I mean, did we expect otherwise with a Nina brewing? See y'all in 2026:

Getting some thunder and downpours here in Ivyland. This area needs a blizzard warning this year. When the hell was the last time? Eff thunder.

Euro and CMC both take Debby remnant center right over Cape May. Plenty of tropical rains for parts of the area. Unless your 'the drought guy'.

Flush hit?

Target, Walmart, and Lowes have their first Halloween stuff out. I even saw a santa and a few Christmas gnomes at the Dollar Tree. Saw 2 gaggles of geese flying South yesterday. Winter is coming.

PHL recorded its first snowfall in July on Sunday. The brief hail is considered frozen precip and goes down in the records as a trace of snowfall. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.fox29.com/news/snow-reported-philadelphia-international-airport-middle-july-nws.amp

Could kiss triple digits in the city both weekend days. Can't wait

There is....snow in the NW in mid June = above avg warmth here.

When was the last time there was a snowstorm in the Northwest and a tropical system in the GOM at the same time in mid June? Strange look to see that on guidance.

Can the rgem be trusted in this type of synoptic setup?

I also had the trs80 running alongside my c64.

Btw what was with the thunderstorms in Houston the other day? Never in my life have I seen the sky go gray to midnight black in 2 seconds. Looked like an eclipse totality. Countless videos on social media.

But did you report any 'junk'?

Dense cloud cover. Looks like a January afternoon at this time

He who felt it dealt it

Had hail in Ivyland earlier this afternoon. Wicked storm.

Can't wait for our bone dry scorching post Nino/pre Nina summer

Another graupel squall here at home in Ivyland now. 35F. Light coating on grass and cars.

At mid county interchange at 476 and there is a light accumulation, would call it a solid .2"....36F