Jump to content

Ralph Wiggum

Members
  • Posts

    16,099
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Who's to say how long we hold on to the favorable pac side? That decides to throw a wrench and its a whole other ballgame.
  2. I mean, that linkage has been fairly common in recent Ninas. To say that scenario wasn't/isnt in the back of many of our minds that have been here a while and tracking global h5 tendencies would be fibbing, because that's one of the very few ways we would fail with those high lat looks. I'm with psu, no towel throwing, just fact spitting.
  3. 5ºF last night in Ivyland. Light snow for many tomorrow morning. Setting expectations at a fresh dusting here. Extreme parts of SE PA and N DE could get hazardous with mixed precip falling on ground that has been solidly frozen now for days. Almost has that 1994 feel with the deep cold this early in the season. I really hope NOT to get a redux of that winter as we head into Jan-Feb.
  4. I don't have the fancy pay maps (my extra $ goes towards those fancy craft beers) but on TT the 6z gefs is better this time period. 3rd-4th storm the euro op had as a fantasy sets the stage for this followup wave around the 7th give or take. We'll see
  5. It is encouraging that the looks on the ens have not degraded and have even shown improvements. Moving up in time as well instead of the usual can-kicking. High lats are a thing of beauty, even 'mint' as some have called it.
  6. Moved over to a holiday beer....Hardywood Gingerbread Stout. A milk stout that tastes like your drinking a liquid gingerbread cookie. Surprisingly good if you like, well, gingerbread cookies.
  7. Sipping on another tasty American Imperial Stout. This time we have Weyerbacher's Sunday Morning Stout. Another BIG beer at almost 13% abv. Super tasty to sip on tho with these single digit temps on the way overnight.
  8. Umm, let's toss this run shall we. Trof out west developing, ser forming late in the run. Must be wrong
  9. Yepper, this might be setting up right after the 4th tho, not sure. Based on the general pattern progression at least.
  10. Yep, not this run for us. Still think that wave is the one that locks in the 50/50 for a storm threat after the 4th or 5th. We are just rushing things along as per usual.
  11. I want to cue the Jaws music for the 18z gfs. Somethings a brewin at 252 in the S Plains
  12. Does it though? Social media is already lighting up from that run.
  13. So you dont want to hear the larger threat is right after this period and the first window may be setting the stage as a 50/50 with nice confluence setting shape?
  14. I tend to agree with this. Trof axis needs to continue to retrograde west. Thr first potential period here has the feel of either Miller b or just offshore. Im aware what the euro op is showing. Go with ens means at this range guys.
  15. I have a feeling you are right. We have been down this road of unicorn patterns at day 12+ repeatedly past 8-10 years. Many never panned out and several that did we ended with nothing to show. I'm cautiously optimistic. Certainly not buying into the 2014. 2009,and Jan 1996 talk going on.
  16. Looks hopeful but we've been burned by the LR ens every year for the past 8. We sit and wait again....
  17. Nina meets Nino. Active NS and juicy STJ, little reflection of a SER to keep things from sliding:
×
×
  • Create New...