So you dont want to hear the larger threat is right after this period and the first window may be setting the stage as a 50/50 with nice confluence setting shape?
I tend to agree with this. Trof axis needs to continue to retrograde west. Thr first potential period here has the feel of either Miller b or just offshore. Im aware what the euro op is showing. Go with ens means at this range guys.
I have a feeling you are right.
We have been down this road of unicorn patterns at day 12+ repeatedly past 8-10 years. Many never panned out and several that did we ended with nothing to show. I'm cautiously optimistic. Certainly not buying into the 2014. 2009,and Jan 1996 talk going on.
Not a peep on the 12z gfs? Sheesh. Miller B bomb just misses right after NY but the followup system around the 6th just misses a full phase beast. Going to be fun tracking soon!
Only a patchy coating on roads here but we did in fact just have a plow come thru. Thought maybe just a salt truck but nope...full plow engaged. Looks like it is just starting to lighten up. Will take a measurement on the snow board later but definitely added at least another .25" since last measurement when i swept off the deck.
Latest measurement was 2.5" and still snowing moderately. Really hasn't slowed past 3 hours where this band has continued to backbuild over E Montco and Central Bucks. Temps hovering around freezing.
Just took a walk out to the snow board in the field for an 'official' measurement and we're at 1.75" and still snowing moderately. Best rates of the day 31F.
Nearing .75" with light snow still falling and accumulating. Dipped to freezing. Expectations surpassed on this one...these inverted trof situations don't generally work out as modeled. We take.
That's a much better look with the epo bulging AND some Atlantic side help. Been burned so many times LR last decade so nice to see but not dusting off the snowblower..yet