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Ralph Wiggum

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  1. Ralph Wiggum
    NAVGEM:
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    In the discussion forum, some have moved past the threat on the 8th, past the @WxUSAF storm on the 11th/12th, and have started targeting specific events after January 15. Feels like a normal winter around here.
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    We fail often when we do the sacrifice storm 1 for storm 2 thing. It's somewhere in the weenie handbook between hunting epic patterns that are a near-guarantee to produce and storms manufacturing their own cold with marginal antecedent airmasses.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Thought we wanted that storm to move into the 50/50 for next week (11th/12th)?
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    I'm more interested in the 11th/12th than the 8th thing tbh. Upper air pattern looks good. Just surprised at how skewed the means are at the surface still. Key lies at H5 tho at this range.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    The ensemble means have little interest surprisingly vs the ops.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    You mentioned the similarities wrt that vort to March 2001. We all know how that worked out. I'm still not intrested yet in this potential. Too many timing concerns and things that need to go just right imho.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    U just answered a question I posed for you. Ty. Wasnt seeing much on any ensembles.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Appears to me the weak solutions slide. The stronger lows ride. Makes complete sense thus why we have been saying weak sauce likely won't cut it with this one and we actually want a propertly timed phase. Still time...mixed solutions still attm.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    @CAPE How did you fare in this one?
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Interestingly winds have veered around within the past 90 mins from 4 mph SE to 7 mph N.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Moderate graupel/snow mix....mostly snow. Everything including roads are coated. 33F
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Light coating on all surfaces here. Still holding at 33 with snow.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    33 and snow
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    Pics or it didn't happen.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    JMA looks like the GGEM
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Euro op breaks down the NAO also rather abruptly. Replaces it with more of a WAR look. Might not be a transient displacement though....not quite sure yet. Could the SWE somehow be having the reverse effect of what we hoped?
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    This would work.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    That top pic can't be real. Perfect plow job cut in the snow? I like the no salt on the road, no dirt exhaust on the snow pile. Surreal.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    33 and rain here. Never wanted to have to post that but there it is. Happy New Year everyone!!
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Thats a honkable map. But someone will undoubtedly remind everyone here that temps are marginal.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Of course you are already beyond the nice pattern looks thru 12 days. Doubt it just breaks down like the op....it is basically by itself in that thinking. But hey, nothing lasts forever...eventually it will end. Let's get a warning criteria under our belts at least before we start talking pattern destruction, sun angle, etc etc. This is our time right now....savor it.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    We are saying goodbye to 2020...thats whats happening!
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Meh, trof axis is still slightly positive. Not perfect.
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    Who has the Itshappening.gif?
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