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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Wouldn't take much. Just as Randy said, the lobe pivoting around the PV under the nao needs to dive in and remain relevant.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    That seems to lock in the cold behind it for the weekend system
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    @Scraff consuming this for HH
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    I originally like the nao and pv relax during the 27-29 thinking that would our window. Alas, thus period will likely be sandwiched by 2 windows that actually produce. Blew my load too soon gooning over it.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    I have the 27-29th thing but that looks to fizzle out not surprisingly lol. Guess I gooned to soon.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    At least Boston gets the golden shovel. They deserve it.
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    I lost 8" snow on the nbm
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    At this point im following the rule I posted above and expecting the 12k nam, or possibly even worse assuming it keeps trending. Anything better than that solution will leave me surprised and elated.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    RGEM is colder than 12z fwiw.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    I am not discounting the NAM. It can be a frontrunner showing the thermal trends. I hope its wrong but there is a decent chance it is leading the way. Seen this before. Oh, and always go with the least snowy model. Weenie handbook first chapter, first sentence in the book!
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    What was the story with this? I used to talk to the guy pretty regularly back in 1998-2002 then he just vanished. Hope it wasnt health related but I hear snippets of things that suggest otherwise.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Some mixed signals across guidance that suggest maybe spots can hit that criteria with the Feb 1-3 storm threat.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    I think for you and I relatively speaking, 10" is our ceiling before mix. Hope we can hit the one foot mark tho, would love that!
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Oh brother, I poked the bear with a climo comment
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Agreed. When I think transfer i think upper level low transferring its energy. Redevelopment I picture a storm coming into the Tenn Valley and hitting a roadblock and being forced to redevelop farther downstream. I could be wrong tho.
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Absolutely. We were doing a comp.over in the mid atl sub the other day between the 2 storms. Very similar structurally.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    But 20 years ago this setup would never have pushed the mix line that far N and W as this one. And I understand this is more 700-800 mb layer stuff, but still. Yes, climo always N and W i agree. But when did i78 become the line? This is 4th or 5th time since 2018.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    The inevitable slow scale back has begun.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    Pretty incredible 10 years ago 202 would be 'the line' and even 15 years ago it would have been i95. Climo keeps pushing that line farther and farther n and w.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    That seems very reasonable for N of i78.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    How this went from congrats S VA to congrats Boston in 48 hours is incredible.
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    That would make the Sunday system look like preschool. Who's starting the thread?
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    So a minimum 4" snowfall all along i95. What exactly is the issue here? I assume the fantasy runs earlier in the week skewed our expectations quite a bit?
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