So all of the models are basically wrong and the low should be closer to the coast because of convective feedback issues. K, got it...thanks for the hot take y'all
If you get a chance and haven't tried lemon plums, they usually show up for about 2 weeks in grocery stores this time of year. Treat yourself if u are lucky enough to find them. They don't taste like lemons nor plums. Well, maybe a little plum. But reminds me of candy....a not as sugary cotton candy treat. Good stuff!!!
Nope. Actually this look has improved. The midweek system is warmish and the sacrificial lamb that resets the pattern moving forward. King GFS is honking:
Big pattern flip in early Feb kicked...again. Ens means depicting big PNA and EPO ridges with CPF holding tight and TPV anchored near Baffin Bay. Keep that general look with the AO hovering around neutral to slight negative and we will continue tracking.
HRRR says up to 2" from the PRE starting around 7am Friday and says that's it for the entire storm. Even shore points are just grazed by the coastal. Entire look of this system is changing every 12 hrs. So now we r relying on pre for accumulations AND beginning Friday AM now...not overnight Friday....interesting. Have a feeling there will be more surprises/changes with this one.
At 18z yesterday the NAM jumped the low center East towards some of the convection. It corrected itself at 0z and 6z. 12z seems to try and do that again after 42hrs and jumps the low ENE. Would think the surface low would be more inclined to hug the baro zone tbh. Not saying "tucked" but the 150 mile jumps to convective flareups seem sus to me.
Maybe. Or like sometimes we see a delay with the surface reflection until next suite. Who knows. You're probably right tho about the trof being slightly broader.