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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    He's going to do it anyway. Awaiting the diatribe on how perfect patterns don't always work, marginal events don't work anymore, it's never easy down this way, etc. I'm aware of all that and was just blowing off some steam. Eta: I'm not throwing in the towel until Sunday earliest. We do need 0z to ease the bleeding just a little bit.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    Fyp
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Seriously, I'm pondering this too. We have all the right tellies and still can't cash-in? I mean, squashed due to too much of a good thing is even more acceptable than these systems plowing thru blocks and disrupting the good tellies at just the wrong time. On to 0z.
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Any temps but 60s+ on Christmas for a change would be a win.
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    Small enough move towards the other globals to warrant concern. I'm just hoping at this point that we still get the arctic outbreak for Dec 25 at least.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    The mood right now in the main thread after unhappy hour gfs:
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Gotta hand it to Red Sky albeit maybe a bit premature still. Usually cant go wrong siding with the least snowiest solutions. The real kick in the junk is how once again we have all tellies lining up and may still end up with a rain storm. The times/clime have really changed...there is no getting past that.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep, made a small move towards the other globals evident from. 120 on. The bleeding continues.
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Looks like it is amping up too far West but whatever. I like the general idea thru 120 of sending a piece of the tpv out towards the 50/50 which is what we want.
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Nevermind, I was comparing to the wrong thing. Yes, it looks gfs-ish at 78. Hmmm.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    I thought just the opposite. Flatter with the ridge out West and tighter energy in W Canada...less escaping out in front towards 50/50. More ridging in the east connecting to the nao
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Did we extrapolate the 18z NAM yet or did I miss that post?
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Not being a Deb, but I think we are quickly losing the big MECS scenario in our regions. When was the last time numerous guidance moved almost in unison away from a MECS/HECS then subsequently moved back towards the single model holding out? It isn't common to see it play out like that.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Maybe this will morph into a colder and farther S version of yesterday's system. I mean, that wouldn't be a terrible thing....atmospheric memory and all those other superstitious myths.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    He isn't really wrong.
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Who is running this shit hole? I need to speak with the manager immediately.
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    JMA is not in the GFS camp
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    Was being facetious but hopefully by tomorrow evening we gain some sort of concensus.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    You know we are going the wrong way when ppl like HM and DT are silent. Speaks volumes. Down but not out. HH GFS is gonna rock. LFG!
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    At this point we should probably start rooting for anything non-GFS and just plow that arctic air into the East. Maybe we can at least manage to not screw up the BN Temps that models had across the board. I mean, we can't fail at getting the cold established right? Every LR guidance had it.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    EPS is a disaster. A December to remember for sure. If we waste record shattering -AO, a legit month-long -NAO and we end with nothing to show it would be extremely disappointing. This season is going to require more patience than even I had originally planned on.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    GFS Vs ICON/UKIE/EURO/CMC/JMA I'm not so sure I want to see how this ends. Where's @Birds~69 to tell us to bet the big odds and take the underdog?
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Lost quite a few of the cutters this run fwiw
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    As long as it isnt 36 hours prior to a locked-in MECS and the Hindenburg humanity thing is being played, I'm good.
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