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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. I feel like back in the 90s when we would get a wound up storm and long trailing front down into the GOM we almost always had something spin up on the boundary in the Western GOM and at the very least "threaten" the region. We can hardly even get a surface reflection anymore. The times have truly changed.
  2. I went to set the bar but dropped it on my head That in itself is telling re: December 2022
  3. We've done better with blues at HL than oranges and reds in recent years. True story.
  4. I'm out. Catch y'all sometime in 2023.......or tonight at 0z
  5. From epic BN temps coast to coast to pretty much normal with BN in the expected Nina favored area.
  6. That guy @leesburg 04saying near 70 this week....yeah
  7. Ridging out west is getting flatter each run. Subtle but Looping last 6 runs its noticeable. Going to be a challenge to keep this one along/off the coast. Just my preliminary thoughts. I keep saying by Sunday I would committ one way of the other. Still time to go and still sone opportunity even with an inland track for some frozen for many.
  8. Exactly! I just posted these thoughts, you may have ninja'd me before I got down to your post.
  9. Definitely not set in stone but pretty sure we are just beginning to see the general idea of how this may play out. From an avocado going under us to a Kiwi skirting to the North. I had enough fruits and veggies on the models for the week.
  10. Have a feeling eps/gefs will continue to merge and final solution will be smack dab in the middle. Could be a track like Hatteras->Assateague->Wilminton DE to Apps sort of thing with a lobe of LP hanging back near MI. Actually thus what hinted at by guidance recently as 36 hrs ago.
  11. Saw that too up top. Minor stretchiness in the pv to the east. Better than bleeding the other way. I accept this.
  12. I will never forget looking at the radar the night prior to that storm saying huh, that convection off the se coast should have been moving ene by now as per guidance. Woke up next morning to that convection being ignited by upper level support and becoming a powerful coastal storm lumbering due N up the coast
  13. CMC is to dogshit what the ICON is to polar bear dysentery
  14. GFS has Jan 25, 2000 vibes with the frontrunner off the SE Coast. It has been trending slower. Have a hunch this morphs into one single entity that is a more organized and slower final system as the se coast energy waits for the upper level support to ignite the powder keg. Lake Superior solutions non existent at 0z thus far. Eta: nm....cmc just said hold my beer....hammers Lake Superior.
  15. I'm willing to bet the se coast frontrunner continues to slow and this becomes one extended storm. It has that look to it. I can't see it escaping.
  16. That frontrunner has been slowing last 4 runs and off the se coast is waiting for the ul energy to catch up. Good morph
  17. That WILL become main low. Jan 25 ,2000 vibes sir
  18. Snow overspending DC at 138 from frontrunner.
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