yoda

12z Euro-AIFS (only has 10:1 on PW... so not Kuchera)

12z Euro

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 MDZ016>018-VAZ055-502-527-050115- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0023.251205T0900Z-251205T2100Z/ Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Stafford-Southern Fauquier-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow, with total accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. * WHERE...Portions of southern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Given temperatures will be in the 20s, snow is expected to accumulate on all untreated surfaces. A light snow will overspread the advisory area, with slightly higher amounts possible in any banding features. As snow winds down, a light freezing drizzle is possible into Friday evening.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 VAZ026-029-039-040-051-503-504-050115- /O.EXA.KLWX.WW.Y.0023.251205T0600Z-251205T2100Z/ Rockingham-Page-Madison-Rappahannock-Culpeper-Western Highland- Eastern Highland- 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow, with total accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Localized totals around 4 inches are possible over the higher elevations of Augusta and Highland Counties. * WHERE...Portions of northern, northwest, and western Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Given temperatures will be in the 20s, snow is expected to accumulate on all untreated surfaces. A light snow will overspread the advisory area, with slightly higher amounts possible in any banding features. As snow winds down, a light freezing drizzle is possible into Friday evening.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 VAZ025-036>038-050-056-050115- /O.CON.KLWX.WW.Y.0023.251205T0600Z-251205T2100Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Orange-Spotsylvania- 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow, with total accumulations of 1 to 3 inches. Localized totals around 4 inches are possible over the higher elevations of Augusta and Highland Counties. * WHERE...Portions of central and western Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Given temperatures will be in the 20s, snow is expected to accumulate on all untreated surfaces. A light snow will overspread the advisory area, with slightly higher amounts possible in any banding features. As snow winds down, a light freezing drizzle is possible into Friday evening.

Good luck all. Hope you get some nice snow tomorrow

If we were to take Kuchera as gospel on 12z RGEM: 06z at DCA was 0.2". 12z is 1.2"

12z RGEM also moved north with its qpf field

12z ICON looks to have nudged north a bit comparing 12z 24 to 06z 30

Give me around an inch and I'm good

11th-12th time period... I believe a few people on here have mentioned that time period as a potential threat

12z NAM has snow breaking out in KS at 84

S MD into C VA win for NAM Twins on 12z suite

Gets some -SN into DC metro by 54... but most of the good stuff is in C VA.

Nice hit for EZF to RIC folk

Pretty decent snow falling at 48 over @Bob Chill

Then put him on Santa naughty list

I'd take a nice covering of the streets and ground. 1-2" would be nice. Anything more - and its a small chance - would be gravy.

We take

UKIE not buying the 12z GFS idea for Monday though

Friday evening "event" still there on the 12z UKIE... more for BR eastward into S MD and C VA tbh though

I was told NAM did the best this morning