wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Yikes. Honestly though this would probably be the worst winter in my lifetime for WNC when combining lack of threats, warm temps, excessive rain
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I would just be happy with a few weeks of dry but that isn't going to happen with this pattern. At least the rain amounts look light for now.
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The only thing saving us from 60s to near 70 this weekend will be cloud cover. The EPS looks pretty bad after 10 days too.
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On the plus side its going to be in the 50s and 60s again next weekend
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It also hurts that the last decade or so has seen some of the lowest northwest flow-snow totals in the past 100 years.
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The ski resorts have been taking a beating the past 4 or 5 years especially.
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Trying to infer something?
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I saw that, it has a mid to upper 30s rain event for most of WNC so its close, but 850 temps are warm.
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I'm glad you are hopeful because I know you are knowledgeable.
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The subtropical jet has been nino like all winter.
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I miss Packbacker and Widremann. They were always good for a dose of reality.
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I posted the EPS earlier and will do so again when i see the new run. It was showing similar results to the op last night
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Are you not disappointed by the way next week seems to be evolving? The cold is nothing extraordinary and transient. It then turns back into a zonal pattern late in the week with more rain. Not what everyone was saying a few days ago.. The MJO has to be part of the reasoning.
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Yea, the cold comes back maybe by hour 360. What could go wrong?
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Day 10 of the Euro certainly doesn't look like the cold is rebuilding quickly..
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Sure would be nice to have some COLD air around..
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It also has nothing that resembles "snowy pattern"
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2019/2020 Mountains and Foothills Fall/Winter Thread.
wncsnow replied to Tyler Penland's topic in Southeastern States
The pattern looks meh at best to me. Doesn't even have much if any NWFS for the mountain folks.. -
I'm not making anything up, I reinforced my point with maps like you did with a graph. The key is if modifies in time to rain and the western ridge is continually getting beat down. The pattern we are entering does not look like a good one for snow but we can always hope
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You can have your GFS, I will take my EPS and Op Euro thanks.
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Yep
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i think your prediction has a good chance at coming to fruition, this pattern "change" is nothing more than a 3 day colder than average spel
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Yea this is turning into a fail quickly. Better hope the cold reloads after day 12 because its gone after day 7 on the Euro and EPS.
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We are now in bargaining stage of grief I think with depression coming quickly around the corner...
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The MJO isnt looking as promising now and may head back into phase 6 or the COD. The cold will probably relax in late Jan either way after a week or so of at or below average.
