wncsnow

Usually in these setups its above 2.5k or 3k ft. Sometimes it will be nothing until your close to the top of Old Fort Mountain.

My perspective on the next few weeks- Thursday night/Friday overrunning is the one to watch. Gotta get that northern stream to calm down to allow the southern energy to amplify enough to bring in moisture. The earlier it comes in the better. After that threat, the northern stream looks to be dominant for the next week or so with mostly clipper type systems and at or below average temps for most of the Carolinas. We would need one of those to dig far enough south to bring areas outside of the mountains any snow. After about next weekend, I think the pattern relaxes some and we warm back up to 50s/60s for most and the pattern resets again around the holidays.

I think the models are having trouble keying on which piece of energy to focus on being the main show. It has an overrunning look to me if we can get that CAD to build in stronger. I like the early wave being stronger as the cold is closer then. If it waits until Friday night/Saturday it will likely be ZR or cold rain.

Euro with a little hope Friday morning?

I think its time I took a break since I seem to be coming off the way I am.

You think the Euro and EPS data isn't useful when its the model with the best verification scores?

And it isn't trolling if its true. Go look for yourself.

Considering your response it must make yours too thanks for the love

Funny how quiet it gets when King Euro and the EPS shows nothing in the long range to get excited about.

Euro is weak and light rain, little bit of snow for Mid Atlantic

UK is a cold rain and a decent snow for DC north.

I dont disagree it's just weird how the cold seems to always push the moisture down now or we have a Great Lakes Low, or the air is too dry. Its like baking a cake but we almost always have a missing ingredient

That step down process really worked for us last year.. we got nailed before the gulf coast got theirs.. oh wait

Only posting what I see, sorry its not rainbows and butterflies. It's not like im making it up

Cold rain after cold rain on the Euro the next few weeks. Give me warm and dry if its not going to snow.

Of course its gone this run. Needing another needle in a haystack to win

19 here also

26 already. Maybe we crack the teens for the first time this winter?

Yes it's all in where you are located. I just think a true snowy winter is overdue

The foothills have averaged between 8-12 (sometimes more) inches of snow per decade generally until recently. For this decade so far we are averaging 3.5.

I urge all of you to look at climatology on webber weather to see how winters used to be. https://www.webberweather.com/nc-winter-weather-climatology.html

You have to look at trends. Trends show the SE Ridge being muted but there enough to keep the storm track west.

It does get a lot more than that but we have settled for "average" or slightly below being a great winter

Wall to Wall winter with all of the state west of I95 at or below average snowfall? The last Wall to Wall winter was 2009/10

So close yet so far