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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. Major issues showing up- 1. Progressive quick moving system being ushered out by the TPV/northern stream. 2. Weaker confluence to the NE leading to warmer temps ahead of the system. 3. Weaker southern stream wave
  2. Models are also starting to weaken the confluence in the NE along with having a weaker system. There is less cold out ahead of the storm.
  3. Really think the northern stream is our main culprit. The TPV is too close and pressing down on our poor weak southern stream.
  4. We need a complete atmospheric reset somehow. A big volcanic eruption or a small meteor maybe?
  5. If the trend continues, the piedmont will only see light amounts from your ideal solution. Weaker also runs the risk of cold transport not being as good and lighter precip could mean more mix. A stronger system has more boom or bust potential sure but if all you want is an inch or 2 that falls in 4 to 6 hours then root for this solution.
  6. Here we go with the weaker, strung out system like I warned yesterday. Atmospheric memory is hard to beat
  7. Not negative for NENC and Hampton Roads but mostly everywhere else yes.
  8. Uk says we don't even get an inch lol. We are in trouble with these trends. I bet the Euro gives us a 2 or 3 inches if that.
  9. At H5 the trends are for a weaker shortwave and less interaction with the northern stream. If it weakens too much it will be light snow at best except for maybe NE NC and SE VA with the weak coastal.
  10. I'm afraid we're close to having a weak bunch of nothing if trends continue
  11. Quite the shocking change so far at 00Z. Not liking the trends for western areas
  12. Canadian is cold but a strung out mess... new trend seems to be emerging.
  13. That's been the trend this winter. Systems have trouble staying consolidated once they go past the Mississippi. Euro at 18Z was weaker than 12Z. If 00Z is weaker still it may not be a big system after all
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