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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. OSUmetstud
    okay. enjoy.
  2. OSUmetstud
    Yeah, I'm saying Blasdell etc. doesn't average more than BUF. BUF has an advantage of being more inland.
  3. OSUmetstud
    Wind chill warning is for later today into tonight, when the core of the arctic air arrives and the winds increase.
  4. OSUmetstud
    Right, but nowhere near a few miles of the lakeshore and near the lake plain elevation averages more than 100". I can't seem to find BUF's good snowfall climo map. It shows the same thing I'm discussing. Village of Hamburg and Op is definitely more, but near Route 20...its near BUF, and down by route 5 its actually probably less than BUF.
  5. OSUmetstud
    Depends where, I think. Out by southwestern its only a bit more, but it increases as you get further east and go up in elevation.
  6. OSUmetstud
    That's just a regression to climo anyway. The last several years have been very southtowns oriented, more so than climo would suggest. BUF and west seneca are almost the same climo, I think OP and Hamburg would be a bit more than BUF.
  7. OSUmetstud
    I was originally surprised that BUF hadn't issue a blizzard warning like they did in 2014, but the winds have been underwhelming compared to that event and the 85 event. There hasn't been a single ob of blizzard conditions at BUF for this whole event.
  8. OSUmetstud
    The long range looks better than it has in some time for many. I endorse the look. Deep PV over the midwest and eastern US isn't a good look most of the time for New England and for Atlantic Canada.
  9. OSUmetstud
    I actually think the very cold airmass and glaciation of clouds would lead to less inland extent than an earlier season band.
  10. OSUmetstud
    love me some panic
  11. OSUmetstud
    It does kinda work for lake effect. I think that ratios should be generally in the 15-20:1 range. There should be some dendrites mixed today through this evening given VVs punching into the -18c layer closer to the ground.
  12. OSUmetstud
    Some meso projections for the BUF area. Nice signal, but the typical pre-event disagreements.
  13. OSUmetstud
    That's where my old apt was during the nov 2014 storm. It's a really long duration event, I could see it. Specific totals are always pretty difficult. The band just be in the vicinity of the BUF from this afternoon to Wed afternoon. Most intense to me should be Wednesday morning into early afternoon when an approaching 700mb shortwave provides extra lift and moisture.
  14. OSUmetstud
    newest map from buf
  15. OSUmetstud
    There's a decent amount of ice in the western basin. You can see it in gray here. I still think this will be a solid event, however.
  16. OSUmetstud
    Ahh lol. I was kind surprised since ecmwf vastly outperforms gfs in all categories at day 10 and its ensemble is much more dispersive.
  17. OSUmetstud
    Can you link to it? Id like to see the data.
  18. OSUmetstud
    Who said this?
  19. OSUmetstud
    Yep. Jealous.
  20. OSUmetstud
    Hasnt ws been in a relative sweet spot the last several years?
  21. OSUmetstud
    Yes point taken the cad from the high does influence the track.
  22. OSUmetstud
    Yea. Its got a more subdued feb 2011 late jan 66 march 1888 look.
  23. OSUmetstud
    Wouldnt the low want to tend to get tugged west into the pv?
  24. OSUmetstud
    I fail to see that; the gfs and ecmwf show similar mjo progression. I think its just shortwave timing (like much of the winter). The mean ridge and trough generally look favorable through the run.
  25. OSUmetstud
    It looks like ski country might be under the gun after this morning, then it lifts north into metro again tonight.
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