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OSUmetstud

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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. OSUmetstud
    Has about 5-6" in NE MA changing over to ip somewhere between 00z and 03z.
  2. OSUmetstud
    I find it funny that wxbell and pivotalwx cant display cobb 11 but of course displays kuchera on everything. Kuchera actually does fail in somewhat marginal warm frontal snows...it underdoes ratios. At least you get via bufkit on iowa state.
  3. OSUmetstud
    Lol. Heading down to FLL thursday afternoon for a cruise. But idk not a big cutter doesnt mean a snowstorm. This winter just hasnt been very fun...the ne 80s pattern has infected eastern nl.
  4. OSUmetstud
    Changes to more boring?
  5. OSUmetstud
    I dont really see ip in stowe. It gets close but doesnt quite get there...even on the most torched nam and rdps in the mid levels.
  6. OSUmetstud
    Agreed. The 750 temps on the gfs are bogus. It cant do warm noses. At least the fv3 gets to about 0 C in c vt. Nam/3km nam/rdps are in good agreement with ip into those areas.
  7. OSUmetstud
    Yeah snip will look like that in our gfe grids with 3 hour model data and running an instantaneous ptying tool every 3 hours.
  8. OSUmetstud
    Its probably adding 3 or 6 hourly snowfall based on instaneous ptying...you end up getting discontinuities.
  9. OSUmetstud
    they all float
  10. OSUmetstud
    Old run.
  11. OSUmetstud
    Germans have a glorified fropa
  12. OSUmetstud
    Everything has trended a touch faster too.
  13. OSUmetstud
    Ok. But the gfs probably did have about 7 inches of snow on that run for the swfe. The problem with the gfs is its lack of ability to diagnose the warm nose. The gfs reg and nam could show the same general solution but the others will more properly show ip ahead of zr/r.
  14. OSUmetstud
    Lol yes.
  15. OSUmetstud
    I dont trust snow depth maps at day 10 for a storm at day 6, either.
  16. OSUmetstud
    Dude. We were discussing the difference between the 0.37 and 2/10 inches being reported. I was question the 2/10ths not the 0.37. The 0.37 with 0.57 qpf is reasonable. 0.20 with 0.57 qpf is very unusual and not typical.
  17. OSUmetstud
    Fake news!
  18. OSUmetstud
    Winter has pretty much shutdown here since jan 2nd. Its been disappointing.
  19. OSUmetstud
    The wet bulb was 28f or lower until the last two hours.
  20. OSUmetstud
    Its the lake plain...theres no real elevation variation until you get further south and east.
  21. OSUmetstud
    Theres two differerent numbers. I dont really understand why it would be so inefficient...35 percent? Its been cold and breezy. Decent rates but still.
  22. OSUmetstud
    Yeah i thought that was strange. The conditions would seem to argue for the higher number.
  23. OSUmetstud
    Buf got 0.57 inches of zr precip today before rain changeover. Reasonably beefy.
  24. OSUmetstud
    It would be interesting to take the klotzbach mjo sne snowstorm paper and modulate it for the ao/nao sign. I could see a scenario where the phase 7/8 positive ao yields almost no increase and the negative ao phase 7/8 yields 30 percent. (Phase 7/8 yields 15 percent increase of 6 inch plus snowstorm)
  25. OSUmetstud
    For sne.
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