OSUmetstud
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud
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Maybe someone else can chime on what levels are in there. It does look like more than just a few and then interpolation.
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It has profiles (like bufkit) of temp and rh. But i dont think its actually at full model vertical resolution. So warm layers can get missed.
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Nice exotic solution for hazey too.
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Yea. I built the FRAM into a spreadsheet at work. Id be interested to see what it would come up with (some of that qpf is ip obviously).
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Yea but the majority of zr icing efficiency is explained via rates. Wet bulb temp and wind are also important but not as important as rate.
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Windy.com has soundings but its just a plot of the course resolution upper level temps that exist elsewhere on the internet (925, 850, 700, 500) i think real soundings would be super pricey.
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Those wxbell algorithms hate ip. Its either snow or zr which is bs.
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BUF vs CLE then KC vs. NE
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Speaking of bad models...the navgem turns into a coastal but mainly nails interior and nne.
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Yeah. Gander should do well. Lots of warm air thrown nw of track. Annoying.
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Yeah that was a bit exotic.
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Im not a canadian govt met. Rgem is a better model than gfs inside 48. Gfs is only slightly better than gem outside of that. And If im having drinks everyone is in trouble lol.
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Yes that is an annoying aspect of the gfs. Se bias is real and prevalant.
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So does the gfs dude. I cant even use it for my forecast tomorrow.
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I dont know why u guys need to create such a narrative. The gem is just as bad as the gfs. Its outperfoming the gfs for tomorrow on the ma low for nl...and it outperformed the gfs for my blizzard at the beginning of the month.
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Yeah notsomuch.
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Congrats dude.
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I got about 6" of sleet last year in an event. It was something special. Id rather have it fall as snow though if given the choice.
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The research shows there a direct correlation between 7 and 8 and elevated sig snow risk. You would see it in 6 or 5 if it were a week or two lagged. Theres only an average of 4 to 8 days in each phase.
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Looks okay. Still could go either way at 100 hours. I have to investigate further but i know will and others here have referenced it before. It does have different solutions after 48 hr than the gdps so its not just a splice. Ill reach out to a friend at eccc and see why its not available in grib and on the more public sites.
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Theres no lag between 8 and snowstorms though. The lag is between 6 and snowstorms.
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http://labanimator.cmc.ec.gc.ca/wind/synoptic_e.html
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Long range rdps gets james into the action.
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That looks maybe the west coast or northern peninsula? 59.6" at yyt. Probably in the range of 10 to 12" above normal.
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Mjo is definitely the weenie buzzword of the year though.
