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Tatamy

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Posts posted by Tatamy

  1. 18 minutes ago, jfklganyc said:

    Just did it.

    Temps 32-34 from 2 miles north of Whitestone Bridge on down

     

    Critical for icing, the 30 F line is cross county.

     

    Hastings 28F

    Classic CAD setup this morning with a light southerly wind starting to warm the lowest layers of the atmosphere especially along the coast with colder temperatures inland.  Temps along the south shore of the island have risen into the mid 30s while along the north shore they are in the lower 30s.  Temps in the city are in the low to mid 30s.  Just inland they are in the upper 20s.  WWA is up for places just to the north and west where temperatures are below freezing.  I am in the upper 20s with freezing rain as shown on radar almost on my doorstep.  Temps in western PA to the west of the spine of the Appalachians (a line drawn roughly from north to south from the State College area) are above freezing with rain.  This all aligns with the model projections from yesterday.  This looks to be a nasty day on the highways away from the coast with this setup.

    • Like 2
  2. 5 hours ago, jfklganyc said:

    I didn’t miss what happened. I was one of the first people to post in the observation thread about what was happening.

     

    The reality is it’s Sunday morning. Very low traffic.

    I hate to contradict anybody on here because I don’t want to get into an online spat.

    Guys were talking about icing in the city icing on Staten Island. Icing stopped south of the cross county. It was near 40° in the city. 

    It was actually one of my best rides into Jfk because nobody could get into the city from the north and once I cleared that hurdle there was almost no traffic at all.

    Things get overblown on this site for better or worse. 

    If you live in an urban area, this may be a little ice in the morning…but mostly a non event, light rain day for your Sunday

     

     

     

    Take a drive into NYC tomorrow morning and let us know how you make out.  Maybe the models will be wrong.

  3. 4 minutes ago, psv88 said:

    Looks like snow is back in off the ocean from east to west in eastern suffolk, esp south fork. Let's see how far west that can get.

    There is no snow along the south shore as of now.  I just checked webcams in Ocean Beach and East Hampton.  From the sky conditions I saw I think if it does reach the south shore it would get to Fire Island first.

  4. 20 minutes ago, psv88 said:

    Once you get to eastern Suffolk and the islands it should make some difference. Hell they can get ocean effect snow and enhanced snow with a cold NE wind in similar setups. We will see what happens. 

    The snow that potentially will fall later in eastern Suffolk will be related more to what is happening on the synoptic scale.  Assuming it happens I would agree that there could be ocean enhancement.  As of now I like the chances for snow to fall on the island, especially along the south shore.

    • Like 1
  5. 2 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

    Don't know what it means for your area, but I've been under virga all morning 25 miles NW of Philly.

    I feel bad for you.  I looks like it has taken most of the morning for snow just to move NW across the Delaware River to a point a few miles NW of I95.  Even there visibility looks to be about a mile.

  6. 2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

    More likely to be snow in Suffolk county than Parts of CNJ IMO, those NE winds from the ocean and sound should moisten up the low levels a bit

    This has more to do with what is going on in the mid levels.  The wind off the ocean is not currently producing any snow along the north Jersey coast.

  7. 25 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

    Euro still has an inch or 2 for southern areas and gfs showed 2-3 inches. We shall see.

    Dry air in the mid levels looks to keep accumulating snow well south of the city.  I just checked traffic cams along I95 in the Philly area- nada.  In NJ the line that delineates snow from no snow looks to run roughly along I295 up to route 70 and then east and ENE along route 70 to the shore.  The extent of the radar returns north of there indicates the degree of dry air in the mid levels.

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