Tatamy

Rain has changed to snow from Allentown and points south and west from there. There are actually some heavy snow squalls not too far to the west of Allentown now. 40• here currently.

Recent gust at my station on Fire Island to 47 mph.

0z HRRR shows the cold front reaching the Delaware River around 10:30 - 11AM. It makes it to NYC about noon.

Freezing rain 31•

Cloudy and 31•

This burst of snow for Friday has been showing up for days now in the GEFS and continues to do so.

Would the same be said for the 0z GEFS mean? Some interesting outputs on some of the members.

This is a great post. As someone who came of age in the 70s and 80s it amazes me how people and weenies in particular have come to expect major winter events each year. As you stated during the period from 69-93 there only three storms that produced over a foot in NYC. Back in those days storms that were forecast to produce 4-8” were a big deal and if you had one of those in a winter that was a lot. This region has a long term climate history and it is not one where big events (MECS/SECS/HECS) are common. White Christmases are the exception, not the rule here. We have had a good run in recent years with these big events however long term climatology dictates that this not likely to continue.

That was the one. It was close to 60 at midnight where I was before the transition.

What you just described did actually happen in the area on 2/2/76. SLP bombed out on an arctic front just east of ACY that morning. There are few here that are old enough to remember that one however it was quite spectacular while it lasted. The pressure at my location on the north shore fell to 966 mb with heavy rain going to freezing rain, sleet, and ultimately blizzard conditions for a time with continuous lightning and thunder.

Drive up 115 from Wilkes Barre to the PA Tpke interchange. You go from about 400’ to 2000’ above MSL where the interchange is. Weather conditions will be a different world at the top of that mountain in the winter.

Rain 35•

Light flurries 33• 1.5” new OTG

My bad- it was the 0z.

Next Friday on the Euro

Steady fall of parachutes. 32•

Getting a steady fall of parachutes.

Steady snow falling here. 32•

Steady snow falling here. 32•

As of now I would agree that forecasted snow amounts are going to bust in a lot of places.

Mix of snow/sleet here in Bethlehem Twp.

Mixed snow/sleet 31/25

Depends on your location. If you are in the NYC area you will only see rain that develops this afternoon.

It did tick cooler. Expected snowfall amounts in your area increased some.

It’s to be determined.