Tatamy
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Everything posted by Tatamy
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Light snow falling in the Harrisburg area with this system coming in from the west.
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With BL temps in the mid 30s on Saturday in the daytime hours a lot of this is not going to stick.
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Final total here is 2”
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I just woke up, looked outside and then saw that. I thought to myself WTF this is beyond insane. It’s looks like something the GFS would dream up.
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Snow is pretty much done here. 1.5” new.
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Heavy snow is now falling across much of northern and northeastern Pennsylvania as currently shown on radar. Near whiteout conditions in some places along I80. 37/31 with cloudy skies here.
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Mixed light rain and sleet. 43/26.
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Precip along I80 between the Williamsport and Hazleton areas is currently reaching the ground as some light rain. That area will change over a little later as the more intense precip/ rates starts to move out of NW PA.
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This event is going to be focused on a relatively small part of the forum mostly between I80 and Route 22. Will be interesting to see who JPs in that area. Mt. Holly has just issued WWA’s for Warren and Hunterdon Cty’s in NJ in addition to adjacent areas in NE PA. I have not had to use my snow blower for two years. I am hoping that I won’t have to use it tonight so we’ll see how that works out.
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Back to tonight’s event. In spite of what is being shown on precip type radar right now much of what is falling in south central PA is wet snow or a mix of rain and wet snow. It is not sticking in most places out there currently. However as the sun angle piece diminishes over the next hour or two that will change as this precip moves towards the north and east. This evening is looking to be more interesting at least for some of us if this holds.
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Current conditions out here.
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Moderate to heavy snow now coming down in the Allentown area on west along I78 towards Hamburg. Visibilities have really dropped in that area.
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Steady light snow. 33/30
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Steady snow and sleet falling here.
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Very true!
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You’re going to be in a good spot with this event. By the time the precip reaches your area the atmosphere will be cold enough so most of it can fall as snow.
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That precip is actually falling as a mix of rain and sleet in that area.
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As the first wave of precip comes through the area pay attention to the dew points. Mine went from 18 to 31 as that band of light precip came through.
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I have a mix of light rain and snow falling here. 40/23.
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Good luck!
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I think the place to be for this event will in NY north of the Cuomo bridge and into CT. I am looking at the 18z NAM and I think the amounts shown on the snowfall depth chart would be the ones to go with. Anyone who is looking at 10:1 clown maps for snow fall amounts is going to be disappointed. I just looked at a bunch of traffic cams out in western PA and every where I looked precip was not reaching the ground or was light rain (including elevated locations). Wet bulbing will promote the changeover north of the city but elsewhere it will be mainly white rain (or a mix) and struggle to accumulate.
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In NE PA you have to be roughly north and east of a line from Marshall’s Creek to Mt. Pocono to Wilkes Barre to be seeing steady light snow. Places to the south and west of there are just mainly cloudy with some flurries in the air. This lines up fairly well with the earlier projections from the models.
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The worms all over my driveway this morning did it for me. I strongly agree with your sentiment.
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06z GFS has me down for nearly 30” over its run. I have earthworms all over my driveway this morning (In February?!). I’m inclined to sell the GFS and take the worms on this one.
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I came across this discussion of the Synoptics relating to the Blizzard of 96. It provides a nice overview of the storm and contrasts it to other storms with similar impacts across the area. https://youtu.be/LdFl9ON-tY4
