powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Certainly going to be a tight gradient with that Friday wave.
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Yeah for sure. Ping and freezing rain. Best was Northern Champlain Valley to Southern Quebec flats. That run was like 11-12” of snow on 1.55” water. I’ve got more a QPF fetish than snow total haha. Drop an inch plus frozen and I’ll take it however it comes.
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Oof at that 00z Euro run. Keeps ramping up QPF. Friday’s wave is real juicy. The mid level frontogenisis should have someone up here just getting destroyed. That run was a healthy 12-18” for a fairly wide swath.
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Yankees have a ton of pressure on them this season... you must win when you add Cole to that team. Anything other than a World Series is a complete failure.
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They got rid of Price too! Wow, but at the same time, if they get under the luxury tax this season, they could offer Mookie a nice $35 AAV in free agency. They do get a lot more freedom if they punt this season.
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I still feel like this is a day 3-4 rug pulled out event to some extent. It’s still a long way away for the second round. I’d do 4-8” Valley here at home and 8-12” Mtn 48-hr total right now for a first guess.
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I mean, all downhill from here.
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The GEFS agrees with you. The Friday wave is snowier further southeast like the NAM. The GEFS mean now has 5-8” starting to tickle the Mass/NH border.
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We want to lock the REGGIE... good lawd.
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I don't know why you do this. Your views and personal expectations for the storm are your own and fine... but don't try to pass it off as if a specific model shows it. If you are going to say "this is what the NAM shows..." then hopefully that model actually shows it. Hopefully one of these runs crushes your area with ice. I'm rooting for you.
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18z GFS still by far the warmest... mixes all the way to Montreal as it rips that warm front way north with the first event.
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lol Reggie brings Tolland a half a foot on the front side.
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Its mind boggling how long you've been on these forums but don't actually look at the models. The NAM has about a tenth of an inch of ZR for you and mostly rain ending as a period of snow. It has 0.5-0.8" freezing rain for ORH northward.
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A veteran presence. Weather forecasting is 100% emotional. Play reverse psychology, wishcasting, whatever it takes to get the weather you desire. Anyone from NYC pulling that stuff would be 5 ppd, ha.
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The first wave is warm. Cold, wants to flip folks to snow at the end even way down south.
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It came in a bit flatter and colder than 6z EPS. Looks pretty similar to the OP.
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Not that it matters, they are both in the same shitty class, ha. But those Ensembles were much flatter than the OP, so that’s a good sign for colder/south appeal.
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GFS
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He’d have the AC window units installed by Saturday evening. Just completely done with winter.
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The GEFS are not even close to the OP. Good reason to toss the OP. OP GEFS
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Yeah there’s a long way to go. The max snow zone could still be Dendrite area (ICON was CNE), or it could be in Montreal (GFS). Icing could still be over Dendrite or it could be over Tolland. So much time.
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Im not gonna lie, it’s pretty impressive the model can pick out those localized high icing areas. Fits climo with NE slope of ORH Hills and then east slope cold pockets of the Berkshires for significant icing.
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ORH Grid failure.
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That was the best case scenario run, never really shuts off between the two waves. Those SE ticks are really helping as that was looking to be up in the St Lawrence. We have some decent wiggle room for some more SE ticks too.
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Just destroyed! Best Euro run yet.
