powderfreak

Euro is going to go down. GFS looks great for you.

Still going reverse psychology? This winter has really broken you. I miss the old DIT who would find any which way for it to snow in Tolland.

The model differences are absolutely astonishing to me from 00z and 06z in all suites. Hopefully 12z clears it up. It was literally cutter to snows in Montreal to suppressed so much that it might be south of the Pike. Crazy town. You can find a model to fit your thinking right now.

I’m just going to keep looking at the 00z GGEM. This is most likely at this point, no?

NAM even further SE, lol.

18z EPS beefed it up a bit...but pretty stable.

That is so cold. Solidly into the 20s and snowing.

Interesting compared to American guidance. What a crush job NEK VT into NH/ME mountains.

First time for everything... now the ICON is the model that portrays the upcoming EURO run?

Ha I know, Kev seemed to already know though.

What’s it show?

How do ratios there have anything to do with it snowing here? That train of thought is putting my brain into a pretzel trying to figure it out.

Honestly if it’s going to be cloudy, breezy and miserably cold it might as well snow. But it certainly doesn’t sting at all to miss snow this time of year....just the alternative weather (cold, gray) I think is bad enough that seeing some snow might improve it. Anything that falls is gone in a flash this time of year.

Haha trying to drum up some discussion. Looked like exactly what a lot of this forum would want to see as far as trends. Woodstock/Union CT jack there.

Not the trend we were looking for...

It goes back a long way. I think even on WWBB before EUSWX and AMWX back in 2003/2004/2005, Messenger always sniffed out those SE ticks as storms approached. He’d be comparing buoy data and SFC pressure with the RUC and showing all of us interior folks how the low was already 40 miles east of where it was supposed to be, lol. He was amazing to read though as back then things weren’t as relaxed (others might call it off-topic banter) as it is now.... you didn’t post unless you really had a good analysis or observation to make and Messenger was always on those low tracks when they approached New England.

12z EPS certainly more robust up here on the Northern tier than the OP.

It happens. I’ve got video of it snowing at 3000ft less than a week away from the solstice. No doubt the Bigelows further NW could do.

The QPF panels are pretty cool, like zero precip anywhere and then bam like 15-18z it explodes to light QPF over all of the Northeast as daytime heating and ULL interact.

Let’s hope for some banding further north than expected? The Euro run is frigid. Even with the lack of QPF up here it wants MVL to be below freezing while snowing. Even that 0.3-0.4” QPF would get us decent snow at those temps. Eventually gets us to 28F by morning.

I was surprised how close we missed accumulating snow. Even at 1,000-1,300ft there’s a coating of snow that’s surviving through 3pm in May. We missed it at home by like 250-400ft.

You don’t get this excited over snow in mid winter but now when it’s supposed to be severe season in May you’re getting excited for snow?

Nothing like only clearing the 40F mark at 1pm on Cinco de Mayo.

Did you get accumulating this morning? Never saw more than an icy trace on the mulch beds here. There were a few half inch reports over by Cabot and in Greensboro at Hill Farmstead Brewery, ha.

It has helped a lot IMO. It’s also not grooming the slopes every night. Groomers are big heavy machines that “open up the snowpack”.... they till through those ice layers that protect the pack.