powderfreak
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Everything posted by powderfreak
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Man, upper CT River Valley getting smoked. Littleton, Dalton, NH areas with several stations over 1.0” already in that minor “preview” of what comes later. They are showing some efficient rain rates... if you can get 1+ in the bucket before the main event, could be decent totals in that CT River Valley watershed.
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Cold air seeping in, which I find odd given the frontal position. 77F this afternoon to 55F now.
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Pretty solid slug training over itself along I-91 along central/northern VT/NH line.
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HRRR slowly shifting the rain axis back east. Might help DIT with his lawn and Phin with his well on that axis.
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Yeah it’s done. Can see through the forest now in the backyard. Just yellows and orange but the deep red is gone and many leaves down. The entire process took about a week in total from change to peak to leaf drop.
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Water from the sky now.
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All moving N to NE... looks like it’ll miss, right? lol
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Quick half inch in an hour at AQW in the Berkshires. Packing some decent rain rates, wouldn’t take long to get a soaking rain.
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We 18z NAM. Pretty good consensus up this way.
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Yeah Bob is crushing it at that amount... 0.41" here for the month.
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I thought they dried up months ago and CT was a smoldering waste land by now?
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The leaves just didn’t stick as well to the warm pavement. Have to take the measurement on grassy surfaces only. People told me the warm ground would not affect my leaf fall though.
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In reality, that translates to a widespread 5-8", and then Friday and Monday are 2-4" river eastward during winter.
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Ha maybe? It’s just the model literally gives you a deterministic outcome. It’s not like making guesses based on H5 or something.
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How does a literal deterministic model run “translate” to something different than shown? It literally shows you the exact output... but you then “translate” into a different outcome? I’m confused. Is that like when a snow map shows 8” and you “translate” to widespread 12+?
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That is one helluva gradient as Tamarack said... just over a foot in SE CT to 125”+ in S/C NH. Wow, that’s just a constant similar storm track over and over again.
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Ha right on the first few snows. Now Phin should get snow in those similar upslope events... but I think this first winter more folks will be curious of his area as it’s new to the forum. There will be a novelty factor. But once they figure out that zone just has flakes in the air all the time too, they’ll tune it out fast .
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Oh they are only one storm away... though you’ll probably get more lee way this winter as it’s the first winter and folks will be curious... but after that it won’t be a term of endearment lol. ”No one cares about the 6 humans living in Randolph...”
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Ha that’s better. The R was a tougher one to work with... ripper is better than raking.
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Yeah, driving around today it was obvious that peak is passing and more and more bare trees are showing up. The rain should take it all down if we get some heavy downpour type stuff. Maybe that's the drought and early freeze... it didn't hurt the colors but it was literally like a 48-72 hour show. One from the weekend at one of my perches around the hill:
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Time to start raking, they coming down. Inches of leaves.
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Was just over your way, no wind anywhere except very breezy north of the Presidentials... must’ve been some good lee side mixing from the southerly flow aloft. Really windy near Bretton Woods. Been misty and drizzling in VT, left in mist and returned to mist. 67/63
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Ah you’re gonna need another phrase, Mansfield Magic is already trademarked over here . Maybe a Randolph Raking is in order?
